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Here's what the power folks are saying.

Ukraine will live under emergency shutdowns for two to five weeks. Ukrainian energy companies need from two to five weeks to restore stability to the energy system after Russian strikes on energy facilities, said Oleksandr Kharchenko, director of the Energy Research Center. According to the director, the main problem is not the amount of electricity produced by the country but the damage to its transportation routes. In turn, the executive director of DTEK, Dmytro Sakharuk, believes that the emergency power outages will continue for another two weeks if there is no new damage or destruction. Saharuk also noted a deficit in the power system despite the shutdowns because people are not conserving enough electricity. Greater conservation before the power is turned off and when it resumes is necessary to eliminate this deficit.

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Nov 8, 2022Liked by Graham Seibert

Thanks for the update, Graham. Another good summary of living a life under difficult circumstances. Most interesting is how the children are coping with their everyday problems in a war zone. Keep 'em coming.

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Nov 11, 2022Liked by Graham Seibert

I'm running behind in my reading. Glad to know all is going relatively well for you and your family.

Talking about population numbers--(and I may have mentioned this before) have you read anything from Peter Zeihan? One of the things he is on about is the global population crash, currently in progress. He thinks that Russia is crazy with this war, as they are destroying their last chance to stabilize their population. He says China is finished--One Child effectively ended them. Interesting stuff, but obviously needs to be taken with a grain of salt.

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While it's ill-advised to put too much confidence in such predictions, my guess is that he's right. My issue is doing my best to ensure that my kids survive. The odds of survival ticked up with Russia's retreat today. We'll see how it goes.

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