I also think Eugyppius is side with Russia. Is he anti-Western or has reratives in Russia?
Japan has become the most highly vaccinated country in the world, probably because there are many idiots or the public health bureaucrats are too clever, even though vaccination is optional by law.
In the 2010 Tohoku earthquake, about 22,000 people died in the earthquake and tsunami, including missing persons, and the excess mortality rate for that year was 1.9%. 2020 is already the year of the Cov19 pandemic, but the number of deaths per year was 1.37 million even without a vaccine. The number of deaths by September 2022 was ≒ 1.15 million. It is expected that 115*12/9≒1.53 million people per year.
The ratio between 2022 and 2020 is considered to be an excess mortality rate of 153/137≒1.119≒11.9%. Even discounting the aging population, I think the excess mortality rate will be around 10% in 2022. The only difference between 2022 and 2020 is the lack of vaccination. It is right to think that it is due to vaccination.
This is in line with Igor Chudov's estimation formula.
Enjoy your musings very much Graham. You may not have seen this interview with Michael Hudson on economic consequences of Ukraine war. Lengthy, but nuanced.
The article assumes that this was a Washington war of choice. I think it was a Russian blunder.
I agree that the west was and is in decline. Washington has historically done its best to keep countries in its orbit dependent on the US for defense, defense of sea lanes and reliable energy, etc.
Seems to me that these authors exaggerate Washington's cohesion, foresight and ability to plan these things. Never attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by stupidity. Between Putin and Biden there is ample.
You have to acknowledge this has its roots in the end of the cold war. James Baker's assurances on Nato; Nuland and company fomenting the 2014 coup; the unrelenting attacks on ethnic Russians. All designed to antagonize Putin. It may not be coherent, but it is consistent.
Nuland did not foment a coup. The US tried to steer it once underway, but it was genuine, widespread disgust with Yanukovych's extreme corruption and misrule. I traveled through the Russian speaking parts of Ukraine and did not observe or hear about "attacks on ethnic Russians." Certainly nothing on the order of the atrocities conducted by Russia against ethnic Russians in Mariupol.
Even had there been, it would be a matter for diplomacy. Though there are attacks on US citizens in Mexico all the time, invading Mexico would be totally inappropriate.
I talked a lot with a girlfriend from Lugansk and she never mentioned it. There were battles over language, it is true, but never pogroms. You could not tell Russians from Russian-speaking Ukrainians. Who, incidentally, have been the ones killed by Russia in this war. Putin is killing the people he claimed to be saving.
I also think Eugyppius is side with Russia. Is he anti-Western or has reratives in Russia?
Japan has become the most highly vaccinated country in the world, probably because there are many idiots or the public health bureaucrats are too clever, even though vaccination is optional by law.
In the 2010 Tohoku earthquake, about 22,000 people died in the earthquake and tsunami, including missing persons, and the excess mortality rate for that year was 1.9%. 2020 is already the year of the Cov19 pandemic, but the number of deaths per year was 1.37 million even without a vaccine. The number of deaths by September 2022 was ≒ 1.15 million. It is expected that 115*12/9≒1.53 million people per year.
The ratio between 2022 and 2020 is considered to be an excess mortality rate of 153/137≒1.119≒11.9%. Even discounting the aging population, I think the excess mortality rate will be around 10% in 2022. The only difference between 2022 and 2020 is the lack of vaccination. It is right to think that it is due to vaccination.
This is in line with Igor Chudov's estimation formula.
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/covid-boosters-are-killing-germans
Enjoy your musings very much Graham. You may not have seen this interview with Michael Hudson on economic consequences of Ukraine war. Lengthy, but nuanced.
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2023/02/the-economics-of-the-ukraine-proxy-war-with-michael-hudson-and-radhika-desai.html
The article assumes that this was a Washington war of choice. I think it was a Russian blunder.
I agree that the west was and is in decline. Washington has historically done its best to keep countries in its orbit dependent on the US for defense, defense of sea lanes and reliable energy, etc.
Seems to me that these authors exaggerate Washington's cohesion, foresight and ability to plan these things. Never attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by stupidity. Between Putin and Biden there is ample.
You have to acknowledge this has its roots in the end of the cold war. James Baker's assurances on Nato; Nuland and company fomenting the 2014 coup; the unrelenting attacks on ethnic Russians. All designed to antagonize Putin. It may not be coherent, but it is consistent.
Nuland did not foment a coup. The US tried to steer it once underway, but it was genuine, widespread disgust with Yanukovych's extreme corruption and misrule. I traveled through the Russian speaking parts of Ukraine and did not observe or hear about "attacks on ethnic Russians." Certainly nothing on the order of the atrocities conducted by Russia against ethnic Russians in Mariupol.
Even had there been, it would be a matter for diplomacy. Though there are attacks on US citizens in Mexico all the time, invading Mexico would be totally inappropriate.
I talked a lot with a girlfriend from Lugansk and she never mentioned it. There were battles over language, it is true, but never pogroms. You could not tell Russians from Russian-speaking Ukrainians. Who, incidentally, have been the ones killed by Russia in this war. Putin is killing the people he claimed to be saving.