Bob Homans February 10
20230211
Ukraine – 2/10 Sitrep
Compiled by: Robert Homans
February 10, 2023
Russian Gourmet/Alexandria
We used to shop there, until the start of the War. Since then, we’ve boycotted the store, instead going to an Uzbek market that offers the same items. However, last week I stopped by there to pick up a box of Roshen chocolates for our hostess, who had invited to her house for lunch. We noticed that the sign on the outside now only says “Gourmet.” The Russian part has been taken down.
Latest Russian Missile Attack
The latest Russian missile attack took place at about 3AM US East Coast Time. It was the 14th attack on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure since early last October.
From my colleague (sent at around 1:30PM, Kyiv Time) – “Today, another massed rocket attack. Although still too early to tell, it appears that the rashists hit around 5 electricity infrastructure targets. It also seems that about 90% of the rockets and drones were destroyed in mid air (bit higher than other reports). Lastly, some of the attacks came through Moldova and Romania (Romanian Defense Ministry claims that 1 missile flew within 2 miles of its territory). The Ukrainians said that they did not destroy these rockets en route, to avoid causing damage in either Romania or Moldova. The last time they did so, wreckage fell on a house (in Moldova).”
From Ukrainska Pravda –
· 61 out of 71 missiles were shot down.
· More detail on the Russian attack, including where the missiles were launched. The attack consisted of missiles launched by Tu-95 bombers, ships in the Black Sea, and sites in Belgorod, Russian Federation, and Tokmak in temporarily occupied Zaporizhia.
· DTEK is the largest private provider of electric power in Ukraine. On their website, DTEK said that 4 of their power plants were damaged.
Whither the Russian Offensive?
Jim Brooke formerly worked in the Moscow Office of the New York Times, and he lived in Ukraine for several years prior to Russia’s most recent invasion. This is an article he just wrote, that includes some extraordinary information about Russia’s latest attacks in Ukraine-
Russia Mounts Human Wave Attacks To Win Ground in Time for War’s One-Year Anniversary
Russia Mounts Human Wave Attacks To Win Ground in Time for War’s One-Year Anniversary
And, in a sign of the times, a new bust of Stalin is unveiled.
JAMES BROOKE
Friday, February 10, 2023
10:33:06 am
Without fanfare, Ukraine marked this week the deadliest day in Europe’s deadliest war since 1945. Ukraine’s Defense Ministry reports killing 1,030 Russian soldiers in one day — on Tuesday. The high death toll comes as Russia resorts to World War II-style human wave attacks in eastern Ukraine. Soldiers, largely draftees and convicts, are forced forward, often at gunpoint, with the goal of forcing Ukrainians soldiers to reveal their firing positions.
Behind this strategy are Russian generals desperate to provide President Putin with battlefield victories by February 24, the first anniversary of Russia’s all-out attack on Ukraine. Russia also is racing to advance before Ukraine receives hundreds of promised Western tanks and fighting vehicles. Despite high death tolls, Russia’s advances this winter have been measured in villages and hundreds of yards.
Ukrainian troops believe they already are resisting a big Russian offensive. Last week, Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, stated that there currently are 326,000 Russian forces fighting inside Ukraine. Finding more men will be a challenge for Russia. Britain’s Defense Ministry tweeted Tuesday: “It remains unlikely that Russia can build up the forces needed to substantially affect the outcome of the war within the coming weeks.”
On Thursday, the Putin-linked mercenaries, the Wagner Group, announced it is suspending recruitment of convicts. Last year, it recruited 40,000 prisoners with promises of amnesty. Reports of high death tolls in Ukraine filtered back to Russia’s far-flung prison archipelago. In recent weeks, Wagner recruiters have found few takers, according to an article in Mediazona, a Russian exile website.
In September, Mr. Putin’s declaration of an emergency military draft provoked a national backlash. An estimated half a million Russian men fled the country. Despite an economic recession, the number of Russians obtaining passports for foreign travel jumped by 40 percent last year, to 5.4 million, reports the Internal Affairs Ministry. The Russian government announced last week that it is halting the issuance of new passports for want of microchips.
To fill the ranks, the military is using an “invisible” draft — recruiting men without public campaigns. After 30 draft boards were firebombed, military recruiters turned to visiting employers directly. They also target minorities, far from the spotlight of the press. The Nogai people, a 100,000-strong nation in the North Caucasus, have been heavily targeted, Nogai exile leader Anvar Kurmanakayev told Radio Free Europe’s Kavkav Realii website.
Desperate for recruits, Russia’s Defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, proposed last month making any Russian man in his 20s eligible for the draft. As a result, “highly qualified college graduates will not be able to enter the labor market and will instead end up in the military and lose their qualifications,” a fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Andrei Kolesnikov, writes. Meanwhile, he adds, “young men with vocational degrees who are already in the labor market will be torn from the economy partway toward improving their skills.”
Mr. Kolesnikov concludes: “The generation of 70-year-old Russian leaders is deciding for young people how they will live and what they will die for.”
Mr. Putin, who turned 70 in October, shows no signs of backing down. Last week in a speech at Volgograd, he evoked the sacrifice of Soviet soldiers who recaptured Stalingrad from the Nazis 80 years ago. After reviewing WWII-era tanks at a victory parade, he hailed “the indestructible nature of our people.”
Referring to Germany’s promise of battle tanks for Ukraine, Mr. Putin said: “Again and again, we have to repel the aggression of the collective West. It’s incredible but it’s a fact: we are again being threatened with German Leopard tanks with crosses on them.” In a separate ceremony, a new bust of Stalin was unveiled at Volgograd on February 1.
In the battle of Stalingrad, Soviet casualties totaled 1.1 million killed and wounded. There is no sign that modern Russian society will tolerate such high death tolls. During the first year of Russia’s full-bore assault on Ukraine, Russia’s casualties amount to 200,000 killed and wounded.
That estimate is according to American officials interviewed last week by the New York Times. This casualty toll could be as high as 270,000, calculates an independent investigative organization originally from Russia, the Conflict Intelligence Team. Ukrainian military casualties are believed to be at least 100,000.
For comparison, the Soviet Union suffered about 70,000 killed or wounded during its war in Afghanistan between 1979 and 1989. Of these, the official combat death toll was 14,453. By contrast, the Soviet population was 288 million in the late 1980s — double Russia’s population of 144 million today.
In four days of human wave attacks, the Ukraine Defense Ministry reported that Russia had lost 3,720 soldiers, raising Russia’s death toll to 135,010 for nearly one year. Putin may believe that his rule can survive losing 10 times the Afghanistan death toll. But Afghanistan was traumatic for the 15 republics of the Soviet Union.
Today, throughout the former Soviet Union, virtually every major city has a stone memorial to the Afghantsi — the men who died pursuing Moscow’s imperial designs on a neighboring nation. Toward the end, in 1988, separatist movements started to emerge in the Baltics, the Caucasus, and in Ukraine. On February 15, 1989, the last Soviet column drove out of Afghanistan. On December 26, 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed.
Also, this assessment, from Ukrainska Pravda, provides an excellent overview of possible directions for the anticipated Russian offensive. “Reporting From Ukraine” stated that Russia achieved a partial breakthrough north of Bakhmut, just beyond Soledar, but he said that the Russians have limited opportunity to expand their offensive there. In the Latest Denys, he has become more optimistic about Ukraine’s ability to hold the Bakhmut meatgrinder, primarily because of the losses taken by the Wagner Group, both prisoners and regular Wagner troops. Denys also covers significant Russian losses in front of Vulhedar.
The ”Mud Season” seems to have arrived in Ukraine earlier than expected, likely limiting Russia’s ability to conduct offensive operations. They have a narrowing window, before Ukraine begins to receive significant Western equipment.
Significance of Armored Personnel Carriers
As Lawrence Freedman pointed out yesterday, in his Substack blog, there has been too much focus on tanks and not enough on the armored personnel carriers (APC) Ukraine is now receiving from Germany, France and the United States. This video, from United24, discusses the capabilities of the 3 types of APCs Ukraine is now receiving. He mentions that in the first Gulf War, during the battle of 73 Easting, more T-70 tanks operated by the Iraqi Republican Guard were destroyed by Bradley Fighting Vehicles, like what the U.S. is delivering to Ukraine, than were destroyed by A1-M1 Abrams tanks.
2/10 Sitrep
Russian Invasion of Ukraine 12:00 noon February 9 to 12:00 noon February 10, 2023
Abbreviations:
RMA = Regional Military Administration SBU = Security Service of Ukraine
RASHISTS = russian Facists/all russian invaders
INTERNATIONAL
February 10
08:05: The Netherlands received a request from Ukraine for F-16 fighter jets, - NOS.
08:04: Fighters for Ukraine should definitely not be expected in the coming weeks, now we need to provide more useful and faster weapons, says French President Emmanuel Macron during a press conference in Brussels.
February 9
23:50 Polish Prime Minister: Poland is ready to hand over fighter jets to Kyiv but will not do so first of the NATO countries.
· He stressed that the countries that have them the most could be the first to provide Ukraine with modern combat aircraft.
23:41: Britain will not immediately supply fighter jets to Ukraine, British Defence Minister Ben Wallace said in an interview with the BBC.
· Ben Wallace stressed that the delivery of aircraft could potentially take months.
· He noted that instead the United Kingdom is focused on the use of alternative air defense support for Ukraine.
22:56: I have to force Scholz to help Ukraine and constantly convince him that this assistance is not for us, but for Europeans.
· This was stated by President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy at a press conference after the EU summit in Brussels.
21:59: The Ukrainian military has arrived in Belgium for underwater drone control exercises, Belgian Defense Minister Manivin Dedonder said.
· "Today we welcome Ukrainian soldiers in Belgium as part of the EUMAM mission," the statement said.
21:16: The death toll from earthquakes in Turkey has risen to 17,134, according to the Presidium for Disaster and Emergency Management (AFAD).
20:05: Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with the leaders of European countries and the EU High Commissioner for Foreign Affairs.
· "During the meetings, they considered concrete steps to implement the formula of peace, and also called for a decision to start negotiations on Ukraine's accession to the EU this year.
· He spoke about the situation on the battlefield and conveyed the defense needs of Ukraine, regarding combat aviation, armored vehicles, artillery and air defense," the President wrote.
18:28: The Lithuanian government will hand over 36 L70 air defense systems to Ukraine to shoot down Iranian drones.
· This was stated by Lithuanian Defense Minister Arvidas Anushauskas at a joint press conference of the Ministers of Defense of Lithuania and Ukraine.
· Lithuania has also trained not just air defense system operators, but instructors who will be able to train our military on the territory of Ukraine.
17:34: Poland has closed the border crossing with Belarus in Bobrovniki, based on the country's security interests, said Polish Interior Minister Mariusz Kaminski.
17:24: The Czech Republic is demanding $45 million in compensation from Russia due to under-supply of gas, the company's press service reports.
· "Yesterday, February 8, 2023, ČEZ officially initiated arbitration proceedings against Gazprom Export LLC by filing an application for arbitration under the rules of the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC)," ČEZ said in a statement.
15:51: President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen said that the EU is determined to take care of bringing Russia to justice for the crime of aggression against Ukraine and to create a tribunal for this.
· "We have the political will to bring the perpetrators to justice, including for the crime of aggression. And if we have the political will, then we will find ways," she said.
15:27 Head of EU diplomacy: The EU is preparing the 10th package of sanctions against Russia and considers it legal to use frozen Russian assets to restore Ukraine.
· The participants of the EU summit consider the coming weeks decisive and call for maximum military support for Ukraine.
15:17: Volodymyr Zelenskyy says he has handed over to his Moldovan counterpart Maya Sandu a "Russian document" with a plan to destabilize the political situation in the republic.
· He stated this during today's speech at the European Council and noted that this document was intercepted by Ukrainian intelligence.
14:08: IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi will arrive in Moscow today, the protection zone of the Zaporizhzhia NPP will be discussed, the Russian Foreign Ministry said.
13:07: 5 Ukrainians are likely to be under the rubble in Turkey due to the earthquake, Foreign Ministry spokesman Nikolenko said.
· In total, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine searched for 103 Ukrainians who lived in the earthquake zone. Another 22 citizens who do not get in touch are wanted.
12:07: Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrived at the European Parliament.
· 12:18: Volodymyr Zelenskyy was greeted with loud applause in the European Parliament.
· 12:08: "We support Ukraine military assistance, and the next step should be to consider the provision of fighter jets by countries," European Parliament President Roberta Metzola.
· European Parliament President Roberta Metzola said Ukraine's future is in the EU: "We hope that your accession to the European Union will be the fastest in history."
· 12:23: During a speech in the European Parliament, Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked for the support and assistance to Ukraine and Ukrainian refugees.
· 12:31: "The threat to Europe today is a dictator with insane stockpiles of Soviet weapons and the feeding of weapons from other dictatorships, in particular, the Iranian regime," Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.
NATIONAL
February 10
11:35 Air Force spokesman Yuri Ignat stressed that the Air Force was able to shoot down these Russian missiles that were over Romania and Moldova, but understood the risks and threats to the population of a foreign state, so they did not do so immediately
11:31 Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Today, at 10:18, two Russian Kalibr cruise missiles crossed Ukraine's state border with the Republic of Moldova.
· "At approximately 10:33, these missiles crossed Romanian airspace. After that, we again entered the airspace of Ukraine at the point of crossing the borders of the three states
10:03 Ukrenergo: There are strikes in the eastern and western, southern regions hitting several high-voltage infrastructure facilities.
· This has led to power outages in some areas.
09:24 Ukrzaliznytsia: Due to the de-energization of certain sections in Ukraine, 5 out of 65 flights of Ukrzaliznytsia are delayed by 5 minutes or more, another 3 trains - for more than half an hour.
· Passengers of flight No. 712/711 Kyiv-Kramatorsk are transferred to sleeping cars under a backup diesel locomotive, Intercity+ No. 722 in the direction of Kharkiv will also reach under the heat strain. Return shipments from Kramatorsk and Kharkiv, respectively, are expected with a delay, which will be reported additionally.
09:09: During the night, the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed 5 Kalibr cruise missiles and 5 Shahed-136/131 attack drones.
08:46 DTEK: In Kyiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions, emergency blackouts are being caused due to the threat of a missile strike.
07:55 Operational Command South: The Russian army has launched three launch vehicles into the Black Sea, one of which is underwater. Total volley — up to 20 "Calibers"
· According to OK South, this night attack by drones may indicate preparations for missile strikes.
07:11 Operational information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
· "The enemy continues to focus its main efforts on conducting offensive operations in the Kupyansk, Liman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Novopavlovsk directions in the areas of Kreminna, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Opytne, Marinka and Vuhledar. It actively uses operational-tactical and army aviation to strike the positions of our troops.
· Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces repulsed Russian attacks in the areas of the settlements of Gryannikovka and Masyutovka, Kharkiv region; Stelmakhivka and Dibrova - Lugansk and Fedorovka, Krasnaya Gora, Bakhmut, Ivanovskoye, Avdiivka, Krasnohorivka, Paraskoviivka and Prechistivka in the Donetsk region, - General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
· Over the past day, the Russians launched 52 air and 6 missile strikes, 2 of which - on the civilian infrastructure of the city of Kramatorsk, Donetsk region. They also carried out 63 attacks from MLRS, on civilian infrastructure in Donetsk and Kherson regions.
· Russians continue to carry out filtration measures in the temporarily occupied territory of the Kherson region, - the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
· In the city of Gola Prystan, FSB officers of the Russian Federation check documents and personal belongings of local residents, pay special attention to telephones.
· To replenish the losses, in the settlement of Mirne, Zaporozhye region, the Russians brought mercenaries from the so-called PMC "Wagner", from among the recruited prisoners, -
· During the past day, the aviation of the Defense Forces inflicted 18 strikes on areas of concentration of Russian personnel and military equipment and 4 strikes on the positions of anti-aircraft missile systems, - the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
· The air defense forces shot down 3 Russian UAVs per day. According to preliminary information, type 2 "Orlan-10" and 1 "Orion".
· At the same time, units of rocket troops and artillery hit 2 control points of Russian troops, 5 areas of concentration of manpower, ammunition depot and Russian air defense position.
00:02 British intelligence: The most unfavorable due to dirty weather, rough terrain conditions are likely to be in mid-to-late March.
· "Commanders on both sides are likely to try to avoid planning major offensives at such a time," the statement said.
February 9
23:31: 621 officials of the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defense have been brought to justice based on the results of an internal audit, Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said.
· "All persons whose guilt has been proven by the relevant authorities are and will be held accountable," the minister said.
23:21 DTEK: In the Kyiv region, electricity will not be turned off tomorrow, and in Odesa region, there will be test schedules for planned outages.
· However, in the Buchan, Fastiv and Obukhiv districts of the Kyiv region, it is not possible to supply electricity in full due to significant damage to equipment.
· Therefore, at peak clocks in these areas, power outages are possible according to the schedule.
22:24: Minister of Digital Transformation of Ukraine Mykhailo Fedorov showed the operation of a combat kamikaze drone.
· "Terminator in Ukrainian from the National Guard and the 92nd Brigade.
· The drone dies after completing the task.
· After an accurate drone hit the tank, the ammunition detonated, the wreckage struck the drone," he wrote.
19:57 Ukroboronprom: The State Concern "UkrOboronProm" and one of the NATO member states began to jointly produce mines of 120 mm caliber.
· The concern clarified that 120-mm mines are manufactured using modern technologies.
· At the same time, production facilities are dispersed, in particular, their part is located in one of the European countries.
19:39 SBU press service: After the SBU was exposed, Ukrtatnafta urgently transferred to the budget more than UAH 500 million in taxes unpaid by the former management, it said.
· Currently, the issue of using the reimbursed funds to meet the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being resolved.
18:49 Operational information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine as of 18:00 on February 9:
· "During the day, the enemy inflicted 41 air and 3 missile strikes, 2 of which on the civilian infrastructure of the city of Kramatorsk, Donetsk region.
· He also carried out 32 attacks from multiple launch rocket systems, in particular on civilian infrastructure in Donetsk and Kherson regions."
· "The enemy, trying to take full control of the territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, continues to focus its main efforts on the conduct of offensive operations in the Kupyansk, Liman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Novopavlovsk directions."
· "To hide the number of dead occupiers on the territory of the enterprise "Prydniprovska Biotes" in the city of Tokmak, Zaporozhye region, Russian invaders set up a mobile crematorium.
· Locals complain of a constant corpse stench in the southeastern area of the city, especially at night."
· "During this day, the aviation of the Defense Forces of Ukraine inflicted 13 strikes on the areas of concentration of personnel and military equipment of the occupiers and 2 strikes on the positions of anti-aircraft missile systems."
· "The air defense forces shot down 3 enemy UAVs during the current day: 2 - type "Orlan-10" and 1 - "Orion".
· Units of the missile forces and artillery hit 2 enemy control points, 2 areas of concentration of manpower, ammunition depot and enemy air defense position.
17:14: The German defense concern Rheinmetall is ready to build a plant for the production of the latest tanks in Ukraine, says Rheinmetall CEO Armin Pappergera in an interview with Handelsblatt.
· "The State Concern is also currently negotiating with Kyiv on possible supplies of Panther tanks," he added.
15:00: Ukrainian Navy: 1 enemy ship is concentrated in the Black Sea, which is not a carrier of missiles of the "Kalibr" type.
1:16: Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo speaks in the Kyiv City Council session hall, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said.
· "Today I was walking through a city that survived. Kyiv resists. Like all of Ukraine. She resists, despite the cold, the bombing, despite the restrictions, mourning the dead. And we share that longing with you, honoring them," Anne Hidalgo said.
12:47 Ukrenergo: Electricity consumption remains significant due to lower temperatures. The power deficit persists, most of all - in the evening hours. Larger volumes of electricity are gradually supplied to Odessa and the Odessa district.
· Consumption limits were not communicated to Kharkiv, Kherson, Khmelnytsky regions, where it is planned to measure actual consumption today. Consumption restrictions in these areas will not apply.
MORDOR (russia)
February 9
22:47 CNN: Iran is modifying strike drones so that explosive warheads can cause maximum damage to infrastructure in Ukraine.
· Analysts at the investigative organization Conflict Armament Research believe that warheads a little less than two feet long were hastily modified by poorly fitted layers of dozens of small metal fragments that fly along a large radius upon impact.
15:09: The occupation authorities of Crimea are preparing for the Ukrainian operation to liberate the peninsula, - the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine.
· The Russian occupation administration of Crimea and the local FSB branch issued a "decision to establish a high (yellow) level of terrorist danger."
· The decision states that the units of the FSB of the Russian Federation, operating in the Crimea and the line department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation on transport, need to strengthen control over the movement of transport on the peninsula.
14:19: Russians may decide to land troops in the north or south of Ukraine, says Defence Intelligence spokesman Andrei Yusov
· "If we are talking about a classic amphibious operation. Such a threat is also always present - either from the Belarusian direction, or the amphibious assault force, if we are talking about Odessa.
· Such a decision would be suicidal for the Russians. Such a landing force will be very quickly destroyed on the territory of Ukraine. Just as there were colossal losses during the start of a full-scale invasion at the Gostomel airport (Kyiv region), when Ukrainians inflicted crushing losses on the invaders," Yusov said.
KHARKIV
February 10
11:04 Kharkiv RMA: "According to preliminary information, as a result of the last strike of the occupiers, which occurred at about 10:30 am in the Kharkiv district, 7 people were injured. Two of them are in serious condition. The data is being refined."
10:45 Kharkiv RMA: About 150 thousand subscribers in Kharkiv are left without electricity.
10:17 Mayor: At about 10 a.m., another blow to Kharkiv's critical infrastructure.
10:05 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in Kharkiv, subscribers report.
09:53 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in the Kharkiv region. Preliminary – air defense work.
06:34 Kharkiv RMA: "The occupiers have struck critical infrastructure. About 10 explosions were recorded. In some areas, power outages. Emergency services are already working at the places of the outcrops. Information on the victims and the extent of the damage is being clarified."
04:49 Mayor: confirmed Russian missile strikes on the city.
· "The enemy is targeting critical infrastructure facilities. There may be interruptions in electricity, water and heat supply. Information about casualties and destruction is currently being clarified. All city services and the State Emergency Service are working to eliminate the consequences of night shelling," he wrote in his telegram channel.
04:19 Kharkiv RMA: confirms the explosions in the city.
· "Residents of Kharkiv and the region, the occupiers again strike! Do not ignore alarms. Stay in shelters!" he wrote in his telegram channel.
· In Kharkiv, fires began at the places of "arrivals".
04:07 Social Networks: Explosions in Kharkiv are reported.
February 9
20:09 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Vovchansk, Kharkiv region.
DONETSK
February 9
22:35 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Kramatorsk.
12:56: Explosions are heard in Sloviansk, Donetsk region.
ZAPORIZHIA
February 10
10:48 Secretary of the Zaporizhia City Council: "The enemy continues to attack Zaporizhzhia. Two arrivals were recorded. Be in safe places."
10:33 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Zaporizhia. Pre-working air defense.
10:13 Social Networks: Repeated explosions are reported in Zaporizhia region. Previously, air defense works.
09:47 Social Networks: An explosion is reported in the Zaporizhia region. Preliminary – air defense work.
06:20 Secretary of the Zaporizhia City Council: Russians attacked energy infrastructure facilities in Zaporizhia. During the hour, 17 enemy arrivals were recorded in the city. This is the largest number since the beginning of a full-scale invasion. Information on the destruction and casualties is being clarified.
05:04 Social Networks: Explosions are heard again in Zaporizhia.
04:47 Social Networks: Repeated explosions in Zaporizhia.
04:06 Social Networks: Explosions in Zaporizhia are reported.
00:26 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Zaporizhia, subscribers report. Preliminary - the work of air defense.
00:10 Berdyansk city administration: In the temporarily occupied Berdyansk, there was a hit at the airfield, more than 100 Russian troops were destroyed.
· "A warehouse with ammunition and fuels and lubricants and a radar station were also damaged," the administration said.
· This happened on February 8, officials said.
February 9
22:38 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Zaporizhia. Preliminary - air defense work.
14:41: Zaporizhia district became the target for the enemy attack.
· A Russian shell hit a field near the village of Matveyevskaya community.
13:57: The explosions heard in Zaporizhia are echoes from the neighboring community, said Anatoly Kurtev, secretary of the Zaporizhia City Council.
· "Everything is calm in Zaporizhia itself at this time, no arrivals have been recorded," he said.
13:22: Zaporizhia RMA confirmed information about explosions in the city.
· Residents are urged to stay in shelters and not publish photos.
13:04 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Zaporizhia.
DNIPRO
February 10
10:30 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in Kryvyi Rih. Pre-working air defense.
09:42 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in the Dnipropetrovsk region. Preliminary – air defense work.
09:36 Kryvyi Rih RMA: We don't put anything on the Internet. We all stay in shelters. Another 7 missiles are on the approach to us.
09:34 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in Kryvyi Rih, according to subscribers. Preliminary – air defense work.
09:04 Dnipro Regional Council: So far, there are no missiles in the airspace of Ukraine.
· "The estimated time of their approach to Dnipropetrovsk region is 9:30 am. It can change, as well as the direction of movement of missiles. Where they fly is unknown, so be careful and take care of yourself."
08:50 Kryvi Rih RMA: "Enemy missile launches. It is really necessary to move on to shelters.
· Power engineers carry out preventive power outages in some areas of the city", - Oleksandr Vilkul, head of the Kryvyi Rih Va.
05:22 Air Command South: "A very noisy night in Dnipro, but nothing has arrived! Details later. In the video, the downed Shaheds are on fire.
04:59 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk region.
04:11: Social Networks Explosions are heard in Dnipro.
February 9
23:11 Dnipro Administration: Repeated explosions in the Dnipropetrovsk region.
22:40 Dnipro RMA: The operation of air defense with the Shahed UAV was confirmed.
22:34 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in the Dnipropetrovsk region. Preliminary - air defense work.
22:04: The head of the Dnipropetrovsk OVA, Serhiy Lysak, said that there is a possibility of an attack by kamikaze drones in the direction of the Dnipropetrovsk region.
20:42 Dnipro RMA: During three attacks on Manganese, Russians wounded 4 people, including a child.
· "Three were hospitalized in a state of moderate severity. At this hour, 18 damaged private houses, 9 utility buildings, 4 cars have already been counted.
· 3 administrative buildings, a sports school, a shop, a coffee shop and a post office were mutilated."
14:29 Dnipro RMA: A 12-year-old girl and two women were injured in a heavy artillery strike on Manganese.
· 10 houses, 4 utility buildings, several solar panels, power lines, gas pipeline and water supply were damaged. The extent of the damage is currently being clarified.
KHERSON
February 10
09:44 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Kherson.
01:59 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Kherson.
February 9
17:46 Air Force of Ukraine: The air defense forces of the Air Command "South" in the Kherson region have eliminated the enemy reconnaissance and strike drone "Orion".
· With the help of standard optical means, the Orion UAV is able to observe the terrain and find targets. Using guided missiles and air bombs can strike ground targets.
14:50 Kherson RMA: Russians once again shelled Kherson , wounding one person.
· In the village of Nova Kamyanka, Kherson region, two men, aged 30 and 26, were blown up on a Russian mine. They were hospitalized.
MYKOLAIV
February 10
09:46 Social Networks: Repeated explosions in the Mykolaiv region are reported. Preliminary – air defense work.
09:43 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Odesa and Mykolaiv regions. Preliminary – air defense work.
10:28 Mykolaiv RMA: "3 I will be a wave".
10:22 Mykolaiv RMA: reports on a Russian missile over Moldova.
08:37 Mykolaiv RMA: We are waiting for up to 20 missiles. Not yet visible.
February 9
23:02: The head of the Mykolaiv police, Sergei Shaikhet, said that one moped drone had been shot down in the region.
ODESA
February 10
10:16 Social Networks: A second explosion is reported in Odesa region. Pre-working air defense.
08:57 Odesa RMA: Missiles are launched from the Kalibr sea carriers.
KYIV
February 10
10:38 The wreckage of the rocket damaged the car and the roof of a private house in the Goloseevsky district, says Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko.
10:16 Social Networks: Reports of a second explosion in Kyiv. Pre-working air defense.
10:12: Air defense is also operating in Kyiv, the Kyiv City Military Administration said.
10:10 AM RMA: Air defense is operating in the Kyiv region, RMA said.
10:08 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Kyiv, subscribers report.
10:06 Social Networks: Explosions are reported in the Kyiv region. Pre-working air defense.
08:21: Kyiv City Military Administration warns of missile strike threat :
· "Now the enemy has lifted into the air strategic bombers Tu-95, which can carry cruise missiles on board. There is a great threat of a missile strike."
February 9
22:14 Kyiv Administration: A monument to Soviet General Mykola Vatutin was dismantled in the Mariinsky Park in Kyiv.
15:58 Mayor: In the Darnytskyi district of Kyiv, an explosion occurred on the territory of the former plant, there may be people under the rubble.
· Information about the causes of the explosion will be clarified.
· According to preliminary information, a gas cylinder exploded.
· 7:43: The death toll from the explosion in Kyiv has increased to four, the CMVA said.
SUMY
February 10
08:46 In Sumy region, emergency blackouts were introduced due to the threat of missile strikes
· This is warned by Sumyoblenergo.
CHERNIHIV
February 10
00:50: An interim mayor is appointed in Chernihiv
· The acting mayor was the secretary of the city council Alexander Lomako. He will head Chernihiv at the time of the ouster of Vladislav Atroshenko.
February 9
15:42 Chernihiv RMA: As a result of yesterday's airstrike from an industrial building on the territory of the Chernihivtorf peat plant in Novgorod-Seversky district of the region, two people were killed, two more –
POLTAVA
February 10
10:01 Poltava RMA: Air defense operates in the Poltava region. Keep calm! Until the end of the air alarm, we are in shelters.
09:49 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in the Poltava region. Preliminary – air defense work.
KHMELNYTSKYI
February 10
11:45 AM Khmelnytskyi RMA: In the Khmelnytsky region, air defense forces shot down 1 cruise missile and 1 shahid.
· There is also a hit on the critical infrastructure of the Khmelnytsky community. The fire was extinguished, there were no casualties.
10:44 Mayor: "Explosion in Khmelnytskyi. Take care of yourself. Details later. There may be interruptions in electricity and other utilities."
10:40 Social Networks: An explosion is reported in Khmelnytsky region. Pre-working air defense.
10:26 Khmelnytsky RMA: "4 rockets are moving west of the country! Stay in shelters!" .
08:27 Khmelnitsky RMA: Russians attacked Khmelnytsky region with drones at night.
· "At about 04:00, the enemy hit the critical infrastructure facility of the Shepetivka district. The fire as a result of the enemy strike was eliminated. There are no casualties,"
0VINNYTSIA
February 10
11:15 Social Networks: Repeated explosions are reported in Vinnytsia.
10:55 Mayor: "Explosions were heard in Vinnytsia. The air defense worked."
10:42 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Vinnytsia, according to subscribers. We are waiting for official information.
10:30 Social Networks: An explosion is reported in Vinnytsia region. Pre-working air defense.
01:49 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in the Vinnytsia region, according to subscribers. Preliminary - the work of air defense.
KIROVOHRAD
February 10
09:52 Social Networks: An explosion is heard in the Kirovohrad region. Preliminary – air defense work.
IVANO-FRANKIVSK
February 10
11:21 Social Networks: Repeated explosions are heard in Ivano-Frankivsk region
10:54 The head of the Ivano-Frankivsk RMA Onishchuk Svitlana confirmed the work of air defense in the region.
10:36 Social Networks: An explosion is reported in the Ivano-Frankivsk region. Pre-working air defense.
LVIV
February 10
11:20 Lviv RMA: There may be power outages in the Lviv region.
11:01 Social Networks:Repeated explosions are heard in Lviv.
10:49 Lviv RMA: Air defense operates in the Lviv region.
ZHYTOMYR
February 10
10:53 Social Networks: Explosions are heard in Zhytomyr.
Comparing Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to Russian invasion of Ukraine using Wikipedia and Ukraine Ministry of Defense Daily Bulletins. Soviet and Russian military losses not including captured equipment.
SOURCES
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://euromaidanpress.com/
https://cutt.ly/Blyskavka
I'd be interested in your take on this post: https://veryslowthinking.substack.com/p/ukraine-ytd-backtest?sort=new