Bob Homans October 7
Substack says this is too long for email. If so, go to grahamseibert.substack.com and read from the web site.
Ukraine – 10/7 Sitrep
Compiled by: Robert Homans
Twitter: @rhomansjr
October 7, 2022
Benefit Concert at the Kennedy Center
Below is an announcement for a benefit concert for Ukraine, taking place on October 18th at the Kennedy Center. Those of you who live in the Washington, DC Metro Area are encouraged to attend. In addition, those of you who don’t live in or near Washington, DC are encouraged to forward this announcement to friends and colleagues who do.
This should not be seen as just a nice thing to do to support Ukraine. One of Ukraine’s many talents is music. I have attended numerous performances at the Kyiv Opera House, both opera and ballet, as well as at Kyiv’s Symphony Hall. This occasion should be seen as an opportunity to enjoy great music played by extremely talented musicians, as well as to support a good cause.
The announcement is below -
On behalf of the Chopivsky Family Foundation, it is our honor to announce the Benefit Concert for Ukraine to be held at the country's leading national stage - The Kennedy Center Concert Hall on October 18 at 7:30PM. The Benefit Concert features joint performance by American violinist, Grammy Award-winner and global superstar, Joshua Bell, and the internationally acclaimed New Era Orchestra from Ukraine.
Please visit our event website for details, including information on our distinguished Event Partners and Sponsors, program, and tickets:
https://benefitconcertukraine.org/
Please support Ukraine by buying tickets to the Benefit Concert and spreading the word about this outstanding event among your communities, colleagues, friends, and family!
As Ukraine heads into the winter and amid escalation of the brutal war, the Ukrainian nation is fighting Russian invaders with extraordinary courage and determination and needs our support more than ever at this decisive time. The beneficiary of the funds raised is United24
http://www.u24.gov.ua/
– a Deloitte audited initiative, launched by President Zelensky as a primary venue for collecting charitable donations for Ukraine. We are immensely grateful to the Sponsors of the Benefit Concert, and we invite you to join this illustrious group! To learn more please visit
https://benefitconcertukraine.org/
The Benefit Concert is also a platform for supporting Ukrainian culture. It will be a world-class artistic event, marking a new pinnacle - the first joint performance in the United States - in the long-term creative collaboration between Joshua Bell and New Era Orchestra, which over the years Ukrainian audiences have enjoyed at concerts in Kyiv and Odesa. In a noble gesture of solidarity, Joshua Bell and New Era Orchestra are donating their entire performance in support of Ukraine.
Joshua Bell, in his career spanning four decades, has performed for three U.S. Presidents and with every major orchestra in the world, to become the most celebrated American violinist of our time. Bell has recorded soundtracks for multiple films, including Academy Award winner, The Red Violin. Bell plays on the famed 1713 Huberman Stradivarius violin.
New Era Orchestra (NEO), the leading independent chamber orchestra in Ukraine, was founded in 2007 by its Artistic Director and Conductor, Maestro Tatiana Kalinichenko. The Orchestra has also performed with such global stars as the U.S.’s Sarah Chang and France’s Gautier Capuçon, and in 2018 became the first Ukrainian ensemble to perform in the official program of "Septembre Musical Montreux-Vevey,” one of the oldest and most prestigious music festivals in Europe. The Chopivsky Family Foundation, which is the organizer and the Platinum Sponsor of the Benefit Concert, has been proudly supporting Ukrainian culture and NEO for many years.
2022 would have been the 15th anniversary celebration for NEO, with many festive musical events planned long in advance. Instead, 2022 became a year when NEO’s musicians have joined the heroic fight of the Ukrainian nation for freedom and democracy on the cultural front.
As Ukraine’s President Zelensky said: “When democracy wins in one country, it wins all over the world. When freedom is defended in one country, it is defended all over the world.” The United States is the biggest ally of Ukraine, and the artistic collaboration between Joshua Bell and NEO exemplifies the historic ever-strengthening partnership between the United States and Ukraine in Ukraine’s resolute fight defending freedom and democracy for the world.
We sincerely thank you for your support of Ukraine and look forward to seeing you at the Benefit Concert
Winter
The pundits are now talking about Winter, and how Ukraine must take as much ground as possible before Winter sets in, when fighting will slow. Don’t count on it.
The 6 weeks between early November and mid-December may well be difficult because of soft ground and muddy roads. After that the ground freezes, making the movement of armor an easier task. Around Kherson it is likely that the ground will stay muddy through the entire Winter. However further north, in Donbas, the ground will likely freeze, and stay frozen until mid to late February. Four factors to consider:
· Debaltseve, 2015 – Ukraine’s biggest defeat in the war against Russia took place in January and February, over frozen ground. Ukraine’s defeat at Debaltseve solidified Russia’s hold over the portion of Donbas that Russia and it proxies held until that time, and the defeat at Debaltseve led to the infamous Minsk II Agreement.
· The Battle for Kyiv, 2022 – The same pundits who now predict that the war will slow down during the Winter, 8 months ago were saying that Russia made a critical mistake when they delayed their invasion date until late February 2022, because frozen ground would be helpful to movements of Russian armor. In February 2022 the pundits were right. By late February the ground was thawing, forcing Russian columns to use the paved roads, where they were chopped up by Ukrainian forces, including regular Army, territorial defense, and volunteers.
· Ukrainians Don’t Let Winter Slow Them Down (No. 1) – Ukraine is making more use of light armored vehicles instead of tanks, to give Ukraine a speed advantage that they use to either encircle towns like Lyman or to chase retreating Russians who, in their effort to get away, end up abandoning their tanks and vehicles to the Ukrainians.
· Ukrainians Don’t Let Winter Slow Them Down (No. 2) – In early March 2006, I visited a cultural park outside of Kyiv, called Peregova, for a “Spring Festival.” Instead of Spring, it was a driving snowstorm, but that didn’t stop Ukrainian families enjoying outdoor picnics, taking troika rides, and engaging in other outdoor activities, all despite the blizzard and high winds. It was then that I realized why Napoleon was defeated in 1812. Of course, this also applies to Russians, except this time Ukrainians are better clothed, better trained and better armed. Peregova is somewhat like Historic Deerfield, Massachusetts, the subject of a raid in 1704 against the English settlers by the French and their Native American allies. There are similarities to current events in Ukraine.
Murder of Daria Dugina
Reportedly, the United States has determined that a “unit of the Government of Ukraine” was responsible for carrying out the assassination of Daria Dugina, daughter of the Russian reactionary propagandist Alexander Dugin. Depending on one’s definition of a “unit of the Government of Ukraine,” this might be true, but Dugina’s murder may not have been ordered by a recognized Ukrainian Government agency.
As previous emails have reported, Ukrainian 5th Columnists have been operating in Russia since at least early 2014, after the end of the Revolution of Dignity. Much of their activity has been directed at minority groups, in areas like draft resistance, cultural and linguistic identity, and other activities designed to diminish the influence of the Russian Government. It is reasonable to assume that these activities have only increased, especially since the recent reserve call-up.
It is quite possible that an individual or group that has been engaged in anti-Russian activity saw Dugin as a target of opportunity, and they acted without any prompting or orders from the Ukrainian Government. This may also be true of explosions at military installations and critical infrastructure inside Russia, such as Belgorod and Rostov-on-Don. Look for these actions to continue.
Bila Tserkva
Earlier this week a Russian drone supplied by Iran destroyed a building in the city of Bila Tserkva, approximately 50 miles south of Kyiv. I have close friends who live in or near Bila Tsirkva. The destroyed building was being used a barracks for the local territorial defense force, largely made up of residents of Bila Tsirkva. The drone was a Shahed-136, described here. 12 drones were launched against Bila Tsirkva. 6 were either shot down or intercepted. Ukraine has been able to capture at least 1 Shahed-136 intact, and is busy doing reverse engineering. The drown flies low and is driven by a noisy piston engine. Ukrainians are being told that if they hear the drone in flight to contact local emergency services.
These drones have a long range, and they can reach as far as Kyiv. In addition to fixed military installations, civilian infrastructure such as electrical substations are also prime targets.
One reason why Ukraine wants the United States to supply them with the longer range version of the HIMARS rocket, is to allow them to hit the air base in Crimea from where the drones are
News From the Battlefield
Today’s “Reporting From Ukraine” focuses exclusively on Kherson. He mentions that there are now approximately 45,000 Ukrainian troops engaged along the 150km. line in Kherson. That means that they outnumber Russian defenders by almost 2:1, with Russia having little possibility to re-supply. He also mentions Ukraine’s use of light armored vehicles, as opposed to tanks giving, as stated earlier, Ukraine a speed advantage over retreating Russians.
The “Latest Denys” covers Kherson but also Donbas, where Ukraine is getting close to capturing Svatova, yet another crossroads city bisected by a river. What jumps out to me from looking at Denys’ map is the following:
· Ukraine doesn’t seem terribly threatened by continuing Russian attacks to the immediate south, around Bakhmut. If they were, they likely wouldn’t be pulling troops out to launch attacks against Lysychansk.
· After Ukraine liberates Lysychansk and Sievierodonetsk, it seems possible that they could pivot to the right, and trap and attack Russian troops attacking Bakhmut from behind. Russian troops here belong to the Wagner Group. If this is even possible, trapping these Russian troops could cause the whole Russian line in front of Donetsk City to collapse.
The loss of Kherson City combined with neutralizing the Wagner Group could be devastating for Russia’s war effort, not to mention their morale.
10/7 Sitrep (my comment in bold face)
Russian Invasion of Ukraine 12:00 noon October 6 to 12:00 noon October 7, 2022
Abbreviations:
RMA = Regional Military Administration SBU = Security Service of Ukraine
INTERNATIONAL
October 7
11:29: Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev says a peace treaty with Armenia could be signed by the end of 2022.
· He said that neither Armenia nor the EU have questions about the five basic principles of the peace treaty proposed by Azerbaijan.
09:11 Japanese Ministry of Finance: Japan imposes sanctions against 80 individuals and 9 organizations from the Russian Federation.
· The sanctions will affect Kadyrov's relatives, Defense Minister Shoigu, Head Radfed Matvienko, Prime Minister Mishustin, Reserve President Medvedev, and Alina Kabaeva.
08:37: For the first time since the Cuban crisis, we face a direct threat of nuclear weapons, says Biden
· According to the US president, Putin "is not joking when he talks about the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons, or biological or chemical weapons, because its armed forces are far behind."
08:00: French President Emmanuel Macron said France was considering providing Ukraine with new Caesar guns.
08:00: The next meetings of the European Political Community Summit will be held in Moldova, Spain and the United Kingdom, says Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Petr Fiala.
00:40: Slovak President Zuzana Čaputová on Thursday picked up a joke about the "annexation" of Russia's Kaliningrad region, which has been circulating on Czech social media in recent days.
· "I can think about a state visit. Or not. Great work of our Czech friends to expose the absurdity of Russia's fictitious referendums in Ukraine," Čaputová wrote on Twitter, adding an "invitation" photo to "annexed" Kaliningrad.
00:29: Angela Merkel says Ukraine needs full support
· "Today it is very important that Germany, the European Union, and NATO have a united and decisive position to protect and restore Ukraine's sovereignty and integrity"
· At the same time , she argues, at the same time it is necessary to engage in a "future European security architecture within the framework of international law", which will be stable only if Russia is included in it.
October 6
22:52 CNN: Turkish President Erdogan once again offers himself as a key mediator in possible talks between Russia and Ukraine.
· "While unacceptable events on the ground complicate our work, we continue our efforts by believing that even the worst world is better than war.
· It is becoming increasingly clear that Turkey may find itself in a position where both countries can talk to a side that they can trust," Erdogan said.
22:16 Pentagon spokesman: We don't think President Putin has decided on the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine right now".
21:27 Swedish State Security Service: Swedish law enforcement agencies have completed an inspection of the explosion sites on the Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines.
· "We can confirm that explosions occurred on the Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines in the economic zone of Sweden, which caused significant damage to gas pipelines.
· The inspection of the crime scene strengthened suspicions of serious sabotage," the Swedish prosecutor's office said in a press release.
20:25: Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said during the Warsaw Security Forum that the war in Ukraine is not Putin's war, as they want to perceive in the West, but the war of all of Russia.
· He also noted that to defeat Russia, a new security architecture needs to be built. "It should use a completely different paradigm in the field of energy, economy, trade and financial cooperation," Morawiecki said.
19:17 New York Times: The U.S. has quadrupled arms sales in Ukraine through private exporters since late February this year, reducing the approval period from weeks to several hours.
19:08 Foreign Ministry: Norway will restrict the entrance of Russian fishing vessels to Norwegian ports. They will be able to enter only three specific ports.
21:02: Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with the administrator of the US Agency for International Development Samantha Power.
· "We discussed the details of specific programs designed to build a safe space in our country. We talked about the importance of implementing the Plan for the Rapid Recovery of Ukraine".
18:55 Spanish Ministry of Defense: Spain sends Ukraine a new batch of SUVs, ambulances and medicine.
· From the city of Alcala de Henares, 8 light off-road armored vehicles, 2 ambulances and 5 tons of medicines will depart.
18:14 Le Figaro: French families will be paid 150 euros per month to house Ukrainian.
· Under the program, from 5000 to 12000 families will be able to receive money. Payments will be received for refugees who have lived for at least 90 days between April 1 and December 31, 2022.
· Households that have agreed to accept refugees will be eligible for financial support.
17:57: The EU has published a list of persons who fell under restrictions under the eighth package of sanctions against Russia.
· In total, it has 30 individuals and 7 legal entities. Among them are the ideologist of the "Russian world" Alexander Dugin, the chairman of the Central Executive Committee Ella Pamfilova, artists Julia Chicherina, Nikolai Rastorguev, Oleg Gazmanov, the Irkut corporation, Goznak, Moscow machine-building plant "Avangard", plant them. Degtyarev, ICD "Torch".
16:55: The Moldovan Parliament extended the state of emergency in the country for another 60 days, starting on October 7.
14:53: Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki is convinced that Russia is behind the sabotage at the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines.
· "The most plausible thing, according to the information that we also receive from our foreign friends, this is the work of the Russian services," the head of the Polish government said.
14:03 USAID press release: Head of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Samantha Power, while in Ukraine, said that USAID would provide $55 million to help Ukraine prepare for the winter amid a brutal war unleashed by Russia.
13:26: The European Union has tightened sanctions related to cryptocurrency and banned Russians from owning crypto wallets in the EU for any amount.
· In the spring, crypto wallets worth from 10 thousand euros were banned.
12:14 European Commission: The European Union has approved the eighth package of sanctions against Russia, including oil price limits.
NATIONAL
October 7
11:40 Social Networks: A video appeared online showing a wounded Russian soldier asking to be finished off, but the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldier refused and began providing first aid.
11:35 British Intelligence:
· Russian armed forces leave heavy armored vehicles during retreat or surrender. More than half of Ukraine's tank fleet consists of captured vehicles.
· As noted in the summary, Ukraine has likely captured at least 440 Russian main battle tanks and about 650 other armored vehicles since the invasion.
09:42: SBU shows a functioning hog barn where ten Russian soldiers lived in pig pens.
08:44 General Staff: During the day, 4 munitions warehouses were demilitarized + hitting the base of the Russian troops.
07:49 Operational Command South: Ukrainian aviation launched 7 strikes, including on strongholds, areas of concentration of Russian forces and means in the Beryslav district, under the force of Russian air defense - in Kakhovka. Rocket and artillery units completed 347 fire tasks
· The confirmed losses of the Russians are:
o 105 Soldiers
o 8 Tanks
o 18 large-caliber howitzers "Msta-S" and "Msta-B"
o Self-propelled Howitzer – Peony
o 152-caliber howitzer gun
o 4 Mortars
o 15 Armored Vehicles
· Another 6 units of Russian equipment, including tanks, an armored combat vehicle, a howitzer, and an electronic station, are significantly damaged.
07:30 Defense Intelligence: The commanders of the newly arrived units appointed officers from among former Russian law enforcement officers. The command of the Russian troops issued an order to seize mobile phones from all mobilized arriving.
07:23 Operational information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
· Over the past day, the Russians inflicted 8 missile and 15 air strikes, carried out more than 70 attacks from the MLRS. Three Kh-22 cruise missiles did not reach the targets.
· Their fire affected objects and civilians in more than 25 settlements.
· Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repulsed attacks by Russian troops in the areas of the settlements of Vyimka, Krasne, Bakhmut, Mayorsk, Vesele, Pobeda, Nevelskoye, Kamyanka and Ternov Pody.
· According to available information, reinforcements of five hundred mobilized criminals arrived to strengthen the Russian army fighting in the temporarily occupied territory of the Donetsk region
07:14 Institute for the Study of War:
· "The Russian army does not appear to be trying asymmetrically to concentrate the strikes of these drones at nodal points near the front. They launched many drones for civilian targets in the rear, probably hoping to achieve a non-linear effect through terror. These actions do not bring success".
00:21 Air Force Command: The Air Defense Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed two more enemy UAVs in the southern direction.
· "Servicemen of the anti-aircraft missile regiment of the Air Command "Center", performing combat missions at about 18:00 and 21:00 confirmed destroying two enemy UAVs, their type is currently being clarified."
October 6
23:42 National Police: 1500 channels of communication and collection of information on the movements of the Ukrainian military were destroyed. Work continues with more than 90 thousand possible offenses.
· Separately, work has been organized to collect important information to counter Russian armed aggression.
23:35: Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny said that the war waged by Russia against Ukraine is the largest since the Second World War. He is confident that Ukrainians will be able to destroy the enemy here and now.
21:44 SBU press service: The SBU arrested two Russian agents in Odesa and Donetsk regions.
· They identified the locations and routes of movement of the Defense Forces in the frontline areas in the south and east of Ukraine.
22:36: Secretary of the NSDC of Ukraine advised the Speaker of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation Valentyna Matvienko not to think about peace negotiations, but about repentance before Ukraine and her line of defense in The Hague.
· "... You vote with your hands that are elbowed in Ukrainian blood. Do not be distracted by things that no longer concern you. There will be negotiations, but only with the new Russian authorities, but then you will be very far away...",
21:37 Military Intelligence: Russia is purposefully exterminating its own population, that might rebel against the Kremlin's policy.
· "We are seeing, for example, the history of the north Caucasus, the Kremlin understands that this is a region where there may be at least some resistance or protest movement."
· Because of that there is now a total mobilization, especially of young people, the same thing is happening in Tatarstan and other regions."
23:08 General Staff: Since September 21, the Ukrainian military has advanced into the depths of defense of the Russian army by 55 kilometers, established control over 93 settlements, took control of more than 2400 square kilometers of the Kharkiv/Donetsk Region
22:59 Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs: 530 civilian bodies were found in the liberated territories of the Kharkiv region, these people were killed during the temporary occupation.
· "From September 7 to the present day, 530 civilian bodies have been found in the liberated territories of the Kharkiv region. All these people died during the occupation. 225 are women, 257 men and 19 children. Another 29 people have not been identified," he said.
20:56 General Staff of the Armed Forces: Tomorrow, Russian troops may intensify their attacks on the territory of Ukraine in honor of Putin's birthday.
· "Tomorrow, be especially careful and respond to all alarms."
20:34 Air Force Command: On October 6 , from 15:00 to 20:00 in the south of Ukraine, units of the anti-aircraft missile forces of the Air Force destroyed five drones of the occupiers
· one Iranian strike unmanned aircraft system "Mohajer-6";
· one UAV of the operational-tactical level "Orlan -10";
· three Iranian Kamikaze UAVs "Shahed-136".
19:57: Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, General Valery Zaluzhny, had a telephone conversation with the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley.
· "The situation is difficult, but completely under control and is developing according to our plan. We also checked the clock on the state of providing the Ukrainian army with weapons and equipment," Zaluzhny said.
19:49 Social Networks: The National Guard of Ukraine has published a video of the explosion of a Russian munitions warehouse on the Kharkiv front.
18:50: Today, at about 15:00 in the south of Ukraine, servicemen of the anti-aircraft missile regiment of the Air Command "Center" destroyed two UAVs of the Russians "Mohajer-6" and "ORLAN-10.
18:19 Operational information from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine as of 18:00 on October 6:
· This day, the Russians launched 6 missile and 7 air strikes, carried out more than 23 shellings from the Multiple Launch Rocket Systems.
· Enemy attacks affected objects and civilians in more than 25 settlements. Among others, these are Zaporizhia, Shepetivka, Seversk, Bilohorivka, Olhivske and Hoptivka.
· Over the past day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repulsed enemy attacks in the areas of the settlements of Soledar, Bakhmutske, Yakovlivka, Odradivka, Zaitseve, Bakhmut, Krasnohorivka, Pobeda, Vodiane and Lyubomyrivka.
· The Air Force of the Defense Forces launched 11 strikes during the day. The defeat of 1 stronghold, 5 areas of concentration of weapons and military equipment, as well as 5 enemy anti-aircraft missile systems was confirmed.
· In addition, our air defense units shot down 5 enemy UAVs, including two Shahed-136 and one Mohajer-6.
· Rocket troops and artillery for the current day hit 19 areas of concentration of manpower, weapons and military equipment, 2 ammunition depots and 6 means of artillery.
· Partial mobilization, announced by the military-political leadership of the Russian Federation, actually "absorbs" small settlements in remote regions of Russia.
· Conscription takes place by the method of raids, almost the entire male population of draft age is forcibly delivered to the military registration and enlistment offices. population.
· During another chaotic retreat, the enemy blew up a dam, which caused flooding of the settlement of Raigorodok, Donetsk region.
· In Kadiivka, Luhansk region, there is a massive destruction of archives and copies of documents, especially those containing the history of the occupation
· In Svatove, Luhansk region, the main infrastructure facilities, buildings, and territories have already been mined.
18:04 Operational Department of the General Staff: Belarus continues to assist Russia in the war against Ukraine - the Russian army uses Belarusian ammunition, spare parts, and airspace to launch airstrikes on Ukraine.
· Since the beginning of October, almost 30 wagons with ammunition for the occupiers have been sent from the Belarusian arsenals for storing missiles and ammunition to the Donetsk and Kherson directions. In total, since February 24, 26 convoys with ammunition have been sent from Belarus - almost 250 cars weighing more than 10,000 tons.
17:20: Foreigners will officially be able to become e-residents of Ukraine.
· The Verkhovna Rada approved the draft law on e-residency. Foreign citizens will be able to open a business in Ukraine online.
17:05: The Verkhovna Rada appointed Oleksandra Ustinova, the head of the Holos faction, as the head of the temporary special commission (TSC) on monitoring the receipt and use of weapons provided to Ukraine by partners.
17:00 Air Force Command: The Ukrainian military is already undergoing training in the management of NASAMS and IRIS-T anti-aircraft missile systems.
16:38 Bureau of Economic Security: The assets of a Russian oligarch worth UAH 2 billion were seized in Ukraine.
· The arrest was imposed on trademarks owned by a Cypriot company. This offshore company was used by a Ukrainian financial institution when withdrawing assets from Ukraine.
· The Ukrainian bank, its parent bank in the Russian Federation and the offshore company are interconnected by beneficial owners, including the well-known Russian oligarch.
16:33 General Staff of the Armed Forces: The Armed Forces of Ukraine have shot down 60% of Iranian drones since the beginning of their use by the Russian army in Ukraine.
· "The enemy used 86 drones, and 60% were shot down. We will improve our air defense considering the technical characteristics of enemy aircraft," he said.
16:21: Minister of Defense of Ukraine Oleksii Reznikov: "We have accurate information from Turkey from our partners that the Russians tried to order 200 thousand bulletproof vests and 500 thousand sets of winter clothes tons. That means they're in trouble with it. The Turkish partners, by the way, refused them."
16:16: President Volodymyr Zelenskyy submitted to the parliament the candidacy of Andriy Pyshnyy for the post of head of the National Bank of Ukraine.
16:01: The Verkhovna Rada approved the dismissal of Kyrylo Shevchenko from the post of Chairman of the National Bank of Ukraine.
15:58 General Staff of the Armed Forces: Russia today launched strikes on the territory of Ukraine with long-range Tu-22M3 bombers, from the airspace of Belarus.
· The strike by Russian strategic aviation was carried out for the first time since August.
15:35 The Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report:
· in the Black Sea , 5 enemy carriers of Kalibr cruise missiles are on alert, the total volley is 32 missiles;
· in the Sea of Azov, the enemy keeps up to 6 ships and boats on alert;
· in the Mediterranean there are 5 carriers of cruise missiles "Caliber".
14:38 Forbes: Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov says Russia last conducted nuclear tests in the 1990s.
· Reznikov added that the state of nuclear weapons in Russia is rather doubtful. Former Ukrainian president, Leonid Kuchma, told him that the entire nuclear potential, including the Russian one, expired in 1997. If Russia decides to use nuclear weapons, the consequences will be unpredictable.
· "The risk of using nuclear weapons remains, it cannot be said that they do not exist, but if we estimate as a percentage the probability of using them, it is small. And this is confirmed, among other things, by our partners, the United States and the United Kingdom."
· Almost all NATO and EU countries are providing training programs for the Ukrainian military.
o According to him, there are also specific training programs for Ukrainian artillerymen and special operations forces. Poland and Slovakia will conduct battalion-level training projects.
13:47 Prime Minister: Ukraine and North Macedonia have updated the annex to the Free Trade Agreement to expand it.
· "An updated annex to the Free Trade Agreement was signed, integrating the markets of Ukraine and North Macedonia with the markets of the EU, Turkey, Moldova, Georgia, Norway, Switzerland and Israel through a common system of rules of origin Pan-Euro-Med," Shmyhal said.
13:34 Operational Command South: Russians mobilized after September 21 have already begun to be used in southern Ukraine as cannon fodder.
13:06: The commander of the Azov regiment Bogdan Krotevich explained why they decided to surrender.
· "The operation of our exit (from Azovstal - ed.) was agreed with the leadership of the state. It was a difficult operation. We had a hard time making a decision, but at that time we had 600 wounded and 300 of them were just slowly dying of infection. The officers unanimously decided to go into captivity in order to provide urgent medical assistance to the soldiers who were in the hospital.
14:26 SBU press service: The SBU charged a Belarusian citizen who came to Ukraine as a mercenary in the Russian mercenary force Redoubt.
· Currently, he is wounded and is in Ukrainian captivity, where he was captured during the counterattack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donetsk direction.
12:44 NABU press service: The National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine announced charges against the recently resigned Head of the National Bank Kyrylo Shevchenko. The case concerns the period when he headed Ukrgasbank. Thus, during 2014-2019, NABU suspects he illegally withdrew UAH 206 million from the bank, the said.
· NABU writes that it does not know where Shevchenko is, so the arrest order was left at his place of work, namely at the National Bank of Ukraine.
12:12 Operational Command South: As of 11:00 a.m., 2 Shahed-136 KAME and 1 Mohajer-6 UAV were destroyed in southern Ukraine.
The table below illustrates the involvement of Ukrainian society in its military, support of internally displaced people, and humanitarian aid. I don’t know the percent of Ukraine’s military spending that is supported by crowd-funding and other forms of support, but it’s substantial (something Ukraine’s Western supporters should keep in mind). In 2015, during the fighting for control of the Donetsk Airport, civilians delivered most of the supplies delivered to the Ukrainian defenders. To make deliveries, they drove through territory occupied by separatists and Russian troops. We saw the same thing take place last April, in the fighting around Kyiv.
People whom I know personally, who had to leave their homes due to Russian shelling, were taken in by people whom they never met. In Ukraine, this is routine.
The symbiotic relationship between the Armed Forces and ordinary Ukrainians including civil society groups, is a major reason why Ukraine will win the war. Russia has no answer for this relationship.
MORDOR (Russia)
October 7
11:20 Defense Intelligence - Interception of a conversation between a Russian serviceman and his wife about the situation with recruits: "60 out of 65 mobilized soldiers are missing. They just arrived and disappeared on the second day."
October 6
21:18 Russian Media: The Russian Federation changed the constitution and included the "DPR", "LPR", Zaporizhia and Kherson regions in the list of subjects of the Russian Federation.
17:53 His lawyer Vadim Prokhorov: Russian publicist and public figure Vladimir Kara-Murza, labelled as a foreign agent by the Russian government, has been charged with treason for speaking critically of Russian authorities.
16:27 BelTA: President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko has banned raising prices in the country since October 6.
· "From the 6th, any increase in prices is prohibited. Forbidden! From today. Not from tomorrow, but from today. So that prices do not wind up in a day... And God forbid someone on raising prices retroactively, some calculations, recalculations," he said at a meeting with the economic bloc on inflation.
15:08: The Russian Defense Ministry claims that Russian troops took the village of Zaitsevo, Donetsk region (south of Bakhmut).
15:02 Intelligence Directorate: Ambulance drivers and tractor drivers of agricultural enterprises are mobilized in the temporarily occupied Sevastopol.
· According to the Intelligence Directorate, in the 1st city hospital summonses were received by all the ambulance drivers.
14:31: Speaker of the Council of the Federation of Russia Valentyna Matvienko arrived at a meeting of the "parliamentary G20" in Indonesia and offered to negotiate with the Ukrainian delegation.
· "Let's sit at the negotiating table right now on the platform of the parliamentary twenty: the Russian Parliament, the Parliament of Ukraine. Let's try to understand each other, find agreements," she said.
14:22 Social Networks: Russian-appointed "deputy head of the Kherson region administration" Stremousov said Russian Minister of Defense Shoigu should shoot himself.
· "Indeed, many say that in the place of the defense minister who allowed this state of affairs, he could just shoot himself as an officer," he said.
13:10 Social Networks: In Ukhta, Russia unknown people smashed and doused with red paint a memorial plaque dedicated to the battalion commander of pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk, Arsen Pavlov, known by his call sign Motorola. Motorola liked to brag about killing unarmed Ukrainian civilians before he was liquidated by an explosion in his headquarters in 2015.
KHARKIV
October 7
09:17 RMA: During the day, the Russians struck at the Kupyansk, Chuguevsky, Izyum districts.
· As a result of shelling in Kupyansk , a fire broke out on the territory of the furniture shop.
· Doctors hospitalized 2 people in the Kupyansk district, 4 in Izyum and 2 people in Vovchansk, Chuguev district. All victims are in moderate condition.
· In the morning in the Izyum district, a 47-year-old woman was injured by stepping on a mine. The victim collected mushrooms in the forest.
09:53: Head of the Zaporizhia OVA Oleksandr Starukh confirmed the explosions in Zaporizhia.
10:16 Mykolaiv RMA: Tonight, the Russians attacked Mykolaiv with unmanned kamikaze drones.
11:09 Energoatom: The Russians stole the seal of the Zaporizhzhia NPP, which certified the right to sign documents.
· "In this regard, the President of Energoatom, acting Director General of ZNPP Petro Kotin issued an order on the commissioning of a new seal of SE "Zaporizhzhia NPP" and invalidation of the stolen seal of the previous sample, which was used until October 5 , 2022."
October 6
15:25 Social Networks: The Ukrainian military liberated the village of Glushkivka in the Kharkiv region.
12:49 SBU press service: The SBU announced charges against deputies-collaborators and representatives of the occupation administrations of the Kharkiv region.
· During the temporary occupation of the Kharkiv region, they voluntarily joined Russia and helped it plunder the region and persecute residents.
12:20 National Police: More than 500 murdered civilians were found in the Kharkiv region liberated from the Russian army.
· "We have already recorded and exhumed the bodies of 534 civilians in the de-occupied territories, of which 226 are women, 260 men, 19 children (13 of them have no gender). 29 people are remains, the gender has not yet been established," he said.
LUHANSK
October 7
11:48 Luhansk RMA: Russian troops understand that they will not be able to hold their defenses in the Svatove Luhansk region, so they mined infrastructure.
· The Russians are trying to take out the main medical and social institutions from Svatove , first of all, equipment. Russians and collaborators are urging the local population to leave on their own.
October 6
20:50 Luhansk RMA: Russian officers fled from Kreminna leaving mobilized soldiers behind.
· "This is currently a very good springboard for the development of the offensive," he added.
17:28 Luhansk RMA: Confirmed the liberation of the village of Grekivka.
· He also stated that after the liberation of Lyman, the direction of Kreminna became the focus of the main battles on the front line.
DONETSK
October 7
October 6
15:20 President's Office: Intercity trains will start running from Kramatorsk in October. First, in test mode.
· The issue was agreed with the military and Ukrzaliznytsia. Other details on the resumption of railway communication in the city are still unknown.
ZAPORIZHYA
October 7
10:30 Zaporizhia RMA: One of the Russian missiles fell into the courtyard of a high-rise building. The residential building was destroyed, communal networks were damaged.
· We know about one victim; he has shrapnel wounds. He is already being given medical care. The information is being clarified.
09:51 Social Networks: Report explosions in Zaporizhia.
07:56 State Emergency Service: 11 people died because of missile strikes on Zaporizhia on October 6
· Rescue work is still ongoing.
· At one address, 8 dead people were removed from under the rubble of a 5-storey building, 6 people were rescued, of which 5 were hospitalized.
· At another address, three dead people were removed from under the rubble of a 4-storey residential building, 15 people were rescued, of whom 8 were hospitalized.
· A total of 21 people were saved, 11 people died.
01:01 Social Networks: Report explosions in Zaporizhia.
· Information about the explosion in the city was confirmed by RMA
o "The enemy attacked the regional center. Infrastructure facilities in two districts of Zaporizhzhia suffered damage. Today, the occupier used unmanned aerial vehicles for the first time. Previously, these were SHAHED-136 UAVs. According to preliminary information, there is one victim, he was hospitalized.
October 6
23:03 Zaporizhia RMA: Thanks to the operational work of special services, rescuers and doctors, 21 people were saved and have received necessary assistance.
17:38 Social Networks: Report explosions in the village of Komyshuvakha, Zaporizhia region.
17:24 RMA: Among the injured because of the Russian strike on Zaporozhye are two children - boys of 4 years old.
· In total, 12 patients were delivered to medical institutions in Zaporizhia: 9 patients were hospitalized, the rest refused hospitalization after a medical examination. condition.
15:53 City council secretary: As a result of today's shelling of Zaporizhzhia, more than 40 multi-storey buildings and structures have been damaged.
· According to him, in two houses the whole entrance was destroyed, and in one of the houses the roof, windows and water supply suffered significant damage.
· It is also preliminarily known about 2 destroyed and 9 damaged houses in the private sector of the city.
14:57: As of 2:30, rescuers continue to dismantle the rubble of a residential building in Zaporizhia. The bodies of 3 dead were taken out from under the destroyed structures, the rescue service said.
13:21 Melitopol Mayor: Strong explosions are heard in the temporarily occupied Melitopol and the area in the morning. Now, thick smoke is rising in the northern part of the city.
13:17 Social Networks: Under the rubble of a house in Zaporizhia, hit last night by Russian rockets, rescuers of the State Emergency Service found the body of a dead girl.
12:29 Presidential Office: The Russians shelled Zaporizhia from the S-300 anti-aircraft missile system. The missiles arrived in the central part of the city.
DNIPRO
October 7
08:27 Dnipro RMA: Russian troops struck the area 6 times with MLRS and heavy artillery. Previously, people were not injured.
· Almost 40 Russian shells flew to Nikopol. Several high-rise buildings, more than ten private houses, outbuildings, a transport infrastructure enterprise, gas pipelines were damaged in the city. and power grids.
· In the Marganets community, a survey of the affected areas is underway.
06:01 Social Networks: Report explosions in Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk region.
October 6
23:29 RMA: The Russian army shelled the Nikopol district with multiple launch rocket systems on Thursday evening.
· "Russian occupation forces once again shelled the Nikopol region. By evening, they hit the Chervonohryhorivska community three times with MLRS, and no casaulties," the message says.
18:09 Dnipro Regional council: Due to the war, 80 thousand people left Nikopol.
· Since the beginning of the full-scale Russian invasion of Nikopol, 356 high-rise buildings and more than 1000 private houses have been destroyed.
16:10 Social Networks: Report explosions in Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk region
KHERSON
October 7
09:24: The Russians launched a missile strike on a minibus in a convoy of civilians in Dariivka in the Kherson region.
· There are dead and injured
October 6
22:04 Social Networks: Report explosions and a fire in Kalanchak, Kherson region.
17:47: In October, the Armed Forces of Ukraine liberated 29 settlements in the Kherson region, - said Deputy Chairman of the Main Operational Department of the General Staff Oleksiy Gromov.
16:07 Social Networks: Report explosions in occupied Kherson and the suburbs.
15:45 Social Networks: The Ukrainian military raising the Ukrainian flag in the village of Tryfonivka, Kherson region.
13:36 Social Networks: Smoke is visible in the area of the Antonovsky Bridge after explosions.
13:13 Social Networks: Report explosions are heard in the area of the temporarily occupied Oleshok and the Antonovsky bridge of the Kherson region.
12:55 Operational Command "South": Since the beginning of October, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have liberated more than 400 square kilometers of the Kherson region from the Russian military.
· "We have quite convincing successes, we do not name the directions, but more than 400 square kilometers of the Kherson region have been liberated from the occupiers (since the beginning of active actions in October – ed.). And we are moving on," Humeniuk said.
12:46 Social Networks: Report explosions in Kherson.
12:36 Regional Council: Russian military and collaborators are afraid of the Offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson region, and therefore they are trying to save themselves and their families.
· Some of the collaborators from occupied Kherson region have already transported their families to the occupied Crimea.
MYKOLAIV
October 7
October 6
23:15 Mykolaiv Mayor: Announced huge water losses of up to 50% in the water supply network of Mykolaiv.
· "We have large-scale water leaks in every district. Because of them, more water flows into the ground or onto the asphalt than is supplied to our homes. That is, today we supply you with 50%, and another 50% is lost."
16:05 RMA: 2 drones were shot down over the Mykolaiv region.
OTHER REGIONS
October 7
09:46 Sumy RMA: Russians shelled the Bilopilska, Novoslobidsk, Shalyshynska and VelykaDescriptive communities.
October 6
23:55 Sumy RMA: A mask regime has been introduced in the Sumy region since October 7 due to the increase in the incidence of COVID-19.
20:01 Social Networks: Report explosions in Odesa.
18:36 Social Networks: Report explosions in Odesa.
12:40 Kyiv RMA: Explosions heard by residents of Kyiv and the region are sapper training, there is no danger".
Comparing Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to Russian invasion of Ukraine using Wikipedia and Ukraine Ministry of Defense Daily Bulletins. Soviet and Russian military losses not including captured equipment.
SOURCES
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://euromaidanpress.com/
https://invite.viber.com/?g2=AQBD3wxTrZ6XUU7IdXeHUfjVCydekezQCCGuwYnT6qPd1r7n1aVbFIewa6ng6Lis