Bob Homans October 5
20221005
Too long for email - better to view directly on substack.com
Ukraine – 10/5 Sitrep
Compiled by: Robert Homans
Twitter: @rhomansjr
October 5, 2022
News From the Battlefield
Never Underestimate Russia – In the Summer of 2014 the reconstituted Ukrainian Army nearly pushed the Russians and their proxies out of Donbas. At the time, I was in Kyiv. I recall everyone assuming that the fighting in Donbas would soon be over. And then in mid-September, seemingly out of the blue Ilovaisk happened, which was a major military reversal for Ukraine. 5 months later Ukraine suffered another military reversal, at Debaltseve, followed by the signing of the infamous Minsk II agreement.
There was mentioned in the Daily Telegraph Channel on YouTube that Russia is gathering forces opposite Kharkiv. A friend told me that his son’s unit is being moved from the East to an area north of Kyiv, opposite Belarus. It is wrong to think that Russia is unable to launch new offensives in these areas. It is good to see Ukraine taking precautions.
The Bridges – I said in a recent email that the war is a war of rivers, Dnieper, Oskil, Inhulets, Southern Bug, Sversky Donetsk, and many others. As shown in this video, about Ukraine destroying bridges in the Kherson Region to block Russian re-supply and Russian retreat, the war is also a war of bridges.
This video mentions that Russia is repairing the Nova Kahovka Bridge, across the Nova Kahovka Dam on the Dnieper River. Ukraine destroyed a portion of the bridge that goes over a lock & ship channel next to the Nova Kahovka Dam, but without destroying the dam. From the photo, it seems as if the Russians are filling in the portion of the ship channel that was located below the bridge. Before the war, barge traffic on the Dnieper had become increasingly important, as means of shipping bulk commodities. After the war, clearing this channel will become a major priority.
“Reporting From Ukraine” & “The Latest Denys” – Both videos cover the latest Ukrainian advances in Northern Kherson Oblast, and Denys also covers continuing Ukrainian advances across Kharkiv Oblast and into Kherson. “Reporting From Ukraine” provides more detailed coverage, with Denys taking a broader overview. Both are valuable.
American Coverage – I don’t think the coverage in the U.S. media focuses on the broader picture, showing how bad the Russian situation now appears to be in Ukraine. Today, Ukraine is undertaking 2 offensives, in both Kherson and Kharkiv/Donbas, where both are yielding substantial liberated territory. Russia/Wagner Group attacks in front of Donesk are stalled, with likely heavy loss of life. In Zaporizhia, Russians are victims of a war of 1,000 cuts from Ukrainian partisans. Instead, American coverage seems to focus on one region at a time.
What Russia is facing now in Ukraine makes the risk of Russian incursions around Kharkiv and from Belarus north of Kyiv even greater. I think a new incursion is more likely than Russia using a nuclear weapon.
10/5 Sitrep (my comment in bold face)
Russian Invasion of Ukraine 12:00 noon October 4 to 12:00 noon October 5, 2022
Abbreviations:
RMA = Regional Military Administration SBU = Security Service of Ukraine
INTERNATIONAL
October 5
11:58 White House press secretary: The White House commented on Elon Musk's "peace plan" for Russia and Ukraine.
· At a briefing said that "we will not talk about Ukraine without Ukraine" and that it "leaves the issue of diplomacy to the Ukrainian people."
· "We will make sure to be close to Ukrainians when they are fighting for their own — for their sovereignty," she said.
11:54 Reuters: Kazakhstani authorities rejected Russia's demand to expel Ukraine's ambassador to Astana over comments about the killing of Russians.
· Kazakhstan has accused Russia of improper tone in relations between equal strategic partners.
11:30 Gazprom press service: Announced the resumption of gas transit through the territory of Austria, and therefore the resumption of supplies to Italy, which stopped on October 1.
11:20 Reuters: EU governments today have to agree on proposals for new sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.
· "I believe that by the end of this plenary session we will reach an agreement within the Council and accept the joint proposal put forward by the European Commission," Borrell said in the European Parliament.
11:12 Gazeta Polska: Poland is in talks with the United States to participate in a nuclear weapons sharing program to counter growing threats from Russia, President Andrzej Duda.
10:22 Yonhap News Agency: South Korea and the United States have tested surface-to-ground missiles in response to North Korea's missile launch.
· One of the missiles fell on the territory of a South Korean military base.
09:07: Iran's Foreign Ministry denies supplying drones to Russia for use in Ukraine.
· "The Islamic Republic of Iran considers the published information about the delivery of Iranian drones to Russia for use in the Ukrainian conflict unreasonable and does not confirm this data," Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanaani said.
· Kanaani stresses that Iran firmly takes a position of neutrality and non-interference.
08:50: British Foreign Minister James Cleverly announced his support for Ukraine until the victory over Russia.
· "The United Kingdom will support Ukrainians in the war against Russia until this war is won, until their territorial integrity is restored. We will support them until the last Russian tank pulls the last Ukrainian tractor," the minister said.
08:01 Reuters: European Union finance ministers agree to integrate financial assistance to Ukraine into the EU budget for 2023.
08:27: From today, Japan resumes the work of its embassy in Kiev after a seven-month closure due to the Russian invasion .
00:56 Politico: Representatives of the EU states have reached a preliminary agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia, including restrictions on the price of Russian oil.
· The publication claims that the official decision on the eighth package of sanctions will be made on Wednesday.
00:41: British Foreign Minister James Cleverly promises support for Ukraine until victory.
· "Great Britain will support Ukrainians in the war against Russia until this war is won, until their territorial integrity is restored. We will support them until the Ukrainian tractor pulls back the last Russian tank," the minister said.
00:36 Pentagon Assistant Secretary of Defense: Ukraine is on the way to achieving its strategic goals in the war with Russia
· What are we seeing now? First, the overwhelming success at the forefront of the conflict in kharkiv region, as well as the key strategic successes of Ukrainian forces in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, in particular, the recent return of control over Lyman."
00:16: White House National Security Council Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby says Ukraine has made progress in the southern and eastern directions.
· " They're really on the march, and as you've heard from President Biden, we're going to continue to do everything we can so that we can hand over weapons , capabilities to them so they can build on that progress."
00:08: In Kazakhstan, residents hold conversations with Russian emigrants on the territorial integrity of countries that have been subjected to Russian aggression.
· In the comments to the video posted on social networks, the Kazakhs are subject to threats and ridicule.
October 4
23:52: Hungary's Minister of Technology and Industry László Palkovic on Tuesday announced the country's intentions to abandon imports of Russian gas by 2050 due to large-scale electrification.
· "Russian gas imports may fall to zero by 2050 if other conditions do not change," the Hungarian minister said.
23:20 Bloomberg: Hungary has agreed with the Russian company Gazprom to postpone payment for gas supplies in the amount of €1.9 billion.
· According to the agency, Hungary is likely to have to pay about €4 billion this winter for Russian gas supplies, not counting the deferred payment, the amount of which is estimated at €1.9 billion.
23:03 Financial Times: Saudi Arabia and Russia plan a deep reduction in oil production.
· Wall Street Journal: The EU is likely to approve the G7's proposed price cap for Russian oil in two phases.
22:28 European Commission: The financial assistance announced yesterday from the European Commission for Ukraine will be paid in several tranches, the first tranche will arrive in October.
· "Yesterday I signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Ukraine on the next macro-financial assistance in the amount of EUR 5 billion. We will pay the first part - 2 billion euros - by mid-October," said the representative of the European Commission Dombrovskis.
21:31: The World Bank has improved its forecast for Ukraine's gross domestic product growth in 2023 from 2.1 to 3.3%, and in 2024 it will reach 4.1%.
· In June, it was expected that the fall of Ukraine's economy would be 45.1%, but now the Security Service is talking about 35%.
21:22 Telegram: President of Ukraine had a phone conversation with the leader of the Italian political force "Brothers of Italy" Georgio Meloni.
· "During the conversation, they stressed the need to continue comprehensive support for Ukraine after the formation of a new Italian government.
· They discussed the need to introduce additional sanctions against Russia the strengthening of the 8th EU sanctions package and the ban on the issuance of tourist visas by EU states for Russian citizens," Zelenskyy said.
21:09: German MP Norbert Rettgen says supplies of some weapons to Ukraine hampered by the chancellor.
· "The opposition, I would even say, the majority in the Bundestag is in favor of increasing military aid, effectively supplying everything we can from the stocks of our industry and the national army.
· This is not the view of the government, especially the Chancellor. However, there is also a discussion in the government, but the Chancellor has, of course, the most significant voice in counteracting the supply of battle tanks," the politician said during a discussion at the Warsaw Security Forum.
20:57: "Berlin will under no circumstances pay Poland new reparations for World War II," said German Foreign Minister Annalena Berbok.
19:35: Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said during the Warsaw Security Forum that nuclear blackmail is another tool to intimidate Ukraine and the free world.
· "Putin sees that the only way for Russia to win is to escalate the war and create the impression in the EU that Russia will not retreat a single step - but in fact everything is different," the prime minister said.
19:28 CNN: On Tuesday, October 4, US President Joe Biden had a phone conversation with his Ukrainian counterpart President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
· According to CNN, the negotiations took place before the possible announcement of a new package of military assistance for Ukraine from the United States, which provides for the transfer of 4 MLRS HIMARS to the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
1
8:55 Yle: Finnish Defense Minister Antti Kaikkonen said at a parliamentary meeting that preparations for sending the ninth batch of military aid to Ukraine were nearing completion, said.
· Kaikkonen also noted that this aid package is unlikely to be the last.
18:30 CNN: CIA Director William Burns believes Russian President Vladimir Putin could be quite dangerous and reckless if cornered.
· According to the CIA director, China refused to provide the military assistance Putin requested, although in February he declared unlimited friendship to Beijing. The growing challenges facing Russia leave Putin with fewer options, making him potentially more dangerous.
18:10: The first inaugural meeting of a new format, known as the European Political Community, will take place in Prague on October 6. The summit will be attended by the Ukrainian .
· The event will be attended by 27 leading states of the European Union, as well as 17 leaders of states that are not members of the EU but have different statuses. The concept was developed by the French President of France, supported by a number of EU members.
17:50: Danish police have discovered unidentified drones near gas platforms near Denmark's Halfdan B gas fields in the North Sea, TV2.
· "The National Police can confirm that over the weekend we received reports of drone surveillance in the North Sea," law enforcement officials said.
17:46 AFP: Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel is awarded the Nansen Prize, presented by the UN Office for Refugees, for the "leadership, courage and compassion" shown by Merkel on the issue of accepting refugees as Chancellor of Germany.
· The organization notes that in 2015 and 2016, in the midst of the migration crisis caused by the war in Syria, under the leadership of Merkel, Germany received more than 1.2 million refugees.
17:30 Former Supreme Allied Commander Europe: During the war against Ukraine, Russia demonstrated an inability to suppress enemy air defenses, although NATO thought it had such capabilities.
· "The Russian air force was unable to gain dominance in the airspace of Ukraine," the American general stated.
16:35 Member of the Bundestag: Germany has pursued a naïve policy in the energy sector for years, allowing an increase in energy dependence on Russia, but the war against Ukraine unleashed by Russia has radically changed this.
· "Naïve energy policy has been carried out for many years... With Nord Streams, we have increased our dependence over the past 15-20 years, even after the annexation of Crimea... This naivety disappeared, it was a shock," the deputy said.
16:17: Britain imposes sanctions on the "head of government" of the occupied part of the Kherson region, Sergei Yeliseyev.
16:10 Orda: Dozens of Crimeans stand in line outside the Ukrainian Embassy in Kazakhstan to change their Russian documents.
· Most people want to get Ukrainian passport and some new birth certificates for the baby.
16:06 IRNA: Iran says it does not recognize the so-called "referendums" organized by Russia in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.
15:50 European Union press service: According to the law adopted in the EU, starting from 2024, mobile phones and other gadgets will have to have standardized charging equipment.
· "By the autumn of 2024, USB Type-C will become a common charging port for all mobile phones, tablets and cameras in the EU, representatives of parliament and the Council agreed today”.
15:41 German Foreign Minister: Europe will not leave unanswered Russia's attempts to illegally "include" the territory of Ukraine in its composition.
· She noted that the EU is working on the eighth package of sanctions, which should strike at the most painful "goals" for the Kremlin, and therefore have the greatest effect. First of all, it concerns the import of Russian oil, she said.
15:32 Polish Foreign Minister: Russia's war against Ukraine must end with the restoration of Ukraine's territorial integrity. Russia must pay Ukraine military reparations, and Russian war criminals must be brought to justice.
· The Polish minister added that both Poland and Germany condemn Russia's unprovoked and unjustified use of force against Ukraine and condemn pseudo-referendums recently organized by Russia in the temporarily occupied territories.
14:45: Ukraine will send its delegation to the Eighth Summit of the Heads of Parliaments of the "G 20", which will be held on October 6-7.
14:41 RMF24: According to a CBOS study 60% of Poles believe that Ukraine and the West should continue the struggle and not make any concessions to Russia.
· The survey showed that the percentage of respondents who believe that the war in Ukraine threatens the security of Poland is 70% (5 percentage points less than a month ago. 24% of respondents hold the opposite opinion (an increase of 4 percentage points).
14:25 AP: Sweden has closed the Baltic Sea zone around the sites of gas leaks from damaged pipelines to investigate possible "gross sabotage”.
· The Swedish Coast Guard said ships, divers, fishing vessels and underwater vehicles were not allowed to approach two sources near Sweden.
13:38 Asahi Shimbun: The Japanese government plans to expel the Russian consul from the country in response to the actions of the Russian Federation against the Consul of Japan in Vladivostok.
· Japan plans to recognize the Russian consul as "persona non grata" in response to similar actions of the Russian Federation against the Consul of the Consulate General of Japan in Vladivostok Motoki Tatsunori.
13:34: Estonia handed over drones to Ukraine, which a Russian tried to deliver to the Russian army.
· According to the Estonian Embassy in Ukraine, the man was arrested, and the drones seized from him were sent to the Ukrainian military.
12:34 Neue Osnabrucker Zeitung: Russian President Putin's proposals are the opposite of peace, so there is currently no chance that the talks will put an end to the war in Ukraine, German Foreign Minister Annalena Berbok.
· "His proposal went something like this: 'We will rob your country, enslave your citizens, and then you can sign a peace treaty.' This is the opposite of peace. It's terror and non-freedom," she said.
NATIONAL
October 5
11:47 Air Force Command: Yesterday, in the south, the Air Force destroyed two Russian Mi-24 and Mi-8 helicopters.
11:41 a.m.: The Academic Council of Ivan Franko National University of Lviv conferred the title of Honorary Doctor (Doctor Honoris Causa) on former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
10:39 Air Force Spokesman: The Russian military attacked Bila Tserkva with kamikaze drones fired from southern Ukraine.
· "About 12 drones were launched from the south of Ukraine. Six were shot down: 3 - by anti-aircraft missile forces in the south, and another 3 - by air force aviation ," he said.
· According to him, in this way Russia is looking for weaknesses in the air defense of Ukraine. "They need to be knocked down by all available means," Ignat added.
My wife’s daughter’s partner’s family live in and near Bila Tsirkva. We recently arranged for a contribution from 2 churches in the small town of Islesboro, Maine to a Ukrainian Orthodox church in Bila Tsirkva. The contribution was from a recent Sunday offering and amounted to over $2,200.00. As far as we are aware, neither my wife’s partner’s family nor anyone at the church was hurt, nor was there any relevant property damage. This is an example of how Russia is never very far away, even for towns and cities in Ukraine like Bila Tsirkva, that are relatively far from the fighting.
08:23 Air Force Command: Anti-aircraft missile units of the Air Force destroyed six Kamikaze drones Shahed-136, which the Russians tried to hit Ukraine.
07:23 General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
· The destruction of the S-300 anti-aircraft missile system near the city of Tokmak, as well as the destruction of Russian positions in the areas of the settlements of Gulyaipole and Orikhiv, Zaporizhia region, have been confirmed.
· Over the past day, the Russians launched 9 missile and 6 air strikes, carried out more than 56 shellings from the MLRS. Russian strikes affected objects and civilians in more than 27 settlements.
· Last night, the Defense Forces of Ukraine attacked pontoon and ferry crossings of the Russian Federation across the Dnieper River in the Kherson region. The total losses of the Russian Federation are being clarified.
· The air force of the Defense Forces inflicted 17 strikes during the day. The destruction of 4 strongholds, 11 areas of concentration of weapons and military equipment, as well as 2 anti-aircraft missile systems of the Russian Federation was confirmed.
· In addition, Ukrainian air defense units shot down one helicopter and 2 Russian UAVs in different directions.
October 4
21:40 Prime Minister: Ukraine must be ready for Russia's terrorist attacks against critical infrastructure.
· "After seven months of a full-scale war, everyone already understands that we are dealing with a terrorist country. Therefore, we must be prepared for Russia's terrorist attacks against our critical infrastructure. First of all, we are talking about rocket attacks, but this is not the only risk."
20:29: Full list of U.S. assistance packages for Ukraine.
· The list includes 4 HIMARS, 16,155mm howitzers, 16,105mm howitzers, ammunition, 200 mine-proof vehicles and other necessary equipment. In total, the assistance totals $ 625 million.
20:48: The first Russian recently mobilized began to surrender to the Defense Forces with the help of the project "I want to live", — Coordination Headquarters for the treatment of prisoners of war.
· 26-year-old Russian Mikhail Kulykov from Orsk was sent to the front in Ukraine, but while still in Russia he called the hotline of the project "I want to live" and received instructions on how to surrender to Ukrainians properly and safely.
20:20: Major General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Serhiy Kryvonos gave a comment on the number of weapons that remained with the Russians.
· "Russia lost a lot of military equipment in the war in Ukraine. However, one should not flatter oneself with illusions that the stocks of Russian weapons are running out," Kryvonos said.
19:12 President’s Office: NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has officially received Ukraine's application to join the Alliance.
· "The Secretary General of the Alliance has received this application officially by a note from Ukraine and the next stage will be the discussion of this application at the level of the North Atlantic Council, that is, at the level of ambassadors of states- NATO members in Brussels," Zhovkva said.
19:50: National Bank of Ukraine Governor Kyrylo Shevchenko resigns due to health-related reasons.
19:20 SBU press service: Today, a witness in the case of former Major General of the Security Service of Ukraine Valery Shaytanov was questioned in the Holosiivskyi Court of Kyiv.
· The witness, also a former SBU officer, said that Shaitanov tried to recruit him to work for the special services of Russia.
19:05 State Bureau of Investigation press service: The SBI suspects the leadership of a penal colony from Kherson region, previously charged with prisoner abuse, of collaborationism.
· SBI officers charged five employees of Kherson's Northern Correctional Colony No. 90. The employees were already under investigation for prisoner abuse.
18:35 General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
· During the day, the Russians launched 5 missiles and 1 air strike, carried out more than 15 shellings from the MLRS. Russian strikes affected objects and civilians in more than 12 settlements.
· During the current day, units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine repulsed Russian attacks in the areas of the settlements of Mayorsk, Vyimka, Disputed, Ozeryanivka, Zaitseve, Bakhmut, Bakhmut, Vesele, Pervomaiske and Novomykhailivka.
· The air force of the Defense Forces inflicted 12 strikes during the day. The destruction of 2 strongholds, 8 places of concentration of weapons and military equipment, as well as 2 anti-aircraft missile systems of the Russian Federation was confirmed.
· In addition, Ukrainian air defense units shot down 2 Russian UAVs.
· Rocket troops and artillery for the current day hit the control point, as well as 2 areas of concentration of manpower, weapons and military equipment of the Russian Federation.
18:17: Ukraine will receive $ 529.9 million from the World Bank additional funding for urgent needs. The relevant agreement was signed by Finance Minister Serhii Marchenko and World Bank Regional Director for Eastern Europe Arup Banerjee.
· "The funds raised will allow to preserve the effectiveness and sustainability of the functioning of the Ukrainian system of public administration, to further finance urgent social needs under martial law."
18:05 NSDC Secretary: The partial mobilization announced in Russia acts as a mechanism to destabilize the political situation in the aggressor country.
17:40 Presidential Office: The Armed Forces of Ukraine de-occupied 1,534 settlements. 483 settlements have been liberated in the Kharkiv region.
17:14: The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine confirmed the liberation of the village of Davydiv Brid, Kherson region.
· "The Ukrainian marines are confidently moving towards the Black Sea."
17:09: President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy declared null and void the decrees of the President of the Russian Federation on the recognition of Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions as "independent", as well as other decisions in pursuance of these decrees.
16:55 TASS: A court in Spain has decided to close the case on the extradition of Ukrainian blogger Anatoliy Shariy to Ukraine because he left the territory of the kingdom.
· "The Ukrainian authorities have received a report about the possible stay of a wanted person in Italy," the document states.
· The court informed Interpol, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Justice of Spain about this decision.
16:27 Operational Command South: Ukrainian missile and artillery units have completed more than 170 fire tasks in the areas of concentration of forces and means of the Russian Federation, logistics centers and transport arteries.
· It is preliminarily known about the destruction of two units of armored vehicles and 4 Russian soldiers. Other losses of the Russian Federation are being clarified.
· In the Black Sea, 9 Russian ships maneuver, hiding behind the Crimean Peninsula from storms and attacks by the Defense Forces.
15:47 Ukrainians began to complain more often due to the lack of information and the provision of services in the Ukrainian language.
· From July to September, the Commissioner for the Protection of the State Language received more appeals (1155) than in the previous six months (962).
· In total, during the 9 months of 2022, 2,427 reports of violations of language legislation were received.
15:12: NATO Defence Ministers may discuss Ukraine'Ukrainian s application to join the North Atlantic Alliance during a Ramstein meeting on October 12-13.
· "The reaction in Brussels was expected. This reaction echoes what the Secretary General said at a press conference about the Alliance's open door and our sovereign right to apply. As soon as we meet the criteria, we will be happy to see us as a member of the organization”.
15:12 Ministry of Digital Transformation: Together with the General Staff and the State Special Communication Service, agreed to purchase 986 drones for UAH 1.9 billion.
14:53 The Center for Countering Disinformation of the National Security and Defense Council emphasizes that Russia will continue to increase nuclear blackmail, so there is a high probability of various kinds of provocations on its part.
14:02 Ministry of Agrarian Policy: From August 1 to September 30, 5.5 million tons of agricultural products were shipped through the ports of Greater Odessa on 241 vessels. About 40% of the cargo left the port "Pivdennyi".
MORDOR (Russia)
October 4
10:46 : In Russia, the military registration and enlistment office of the Timiryazovsky district of Moscow issued a summons to 34-year-old Dmitry Klyukvin, who is completely blind from birth.
22:52 Forbes: About 700,000 citizens have left Russia since the mobilization began.
21:16 Politico: Putin's mobilization could finish off the Russian economy.
· "Because so many men have left or intend to pack their bags, sectors that are critical to the functioning of society are at risk of serious disruption," according to edition.
20:14 Russian Media: The head of private mercenary corporation "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin accused the governor of St. Petersburg Beglov of supporting the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
· According to Prigozhin, the mercenaries of PMC "Wagner" "see nothing but harm" from the head of the city, who provides "tremendous support" to the Ukrainian army.
· "The rights of the Wagner PMC participants in St. Petersburg are simply trampled and crushed," Prigozhin.
20:06 Russian Media: On Sakhalin, the families of mobilized Russians will be given fish.
· "The government of the Sakhalin region has agreed with the fisheries, and about 9 tons of fresh frozen fish have been allocated to the Sakhalin region. Soon, families will have fish," the message says.
14:30: The Council of the Federation of Russia has ratified the so-called "agreements on the acceptance into the Russian Federation" of the self-proclaimed "DPR" and "LPR", as well as the occupied parts of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions of Ukraine.
14:10 Putin's spokesman: The Kremlin commented on the decision of Zelenskyy and the National Security and Defense Council to refuse to negotiate with Putin.
· "We will wait for a change in the position of Zelensky or the future president of Ukraine".
14:08 Siren: The team of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny decided to resume the work of regional headquarters amid the weakening of the Putin regime.
13:51 Director General of Russian Railways: Traffic volumes from China to Europe and back through the territory of the Russian Federation fell by more than a third (35%) in the nine months of 2022.
· At the end of the year, the monopoly expects a drop of a quarter of the volume of transit traffic of containers of 20-foot equivalent (TEU) by rail. Total transit from January to September was lower by 17.6% than last year.
13:26 RIA Novosti - Russian Defense Minister: More than 200 thousand people arrived in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation as part of partial mobilization.
· According to the Russian minister, "the training of personnel of the formed units is carried out at 80 training grounds and in six training centers."
13:22 Defense Intelligence: In the last few weeks, more than 2 thousand mobilized Russians called the "hotlines" of the "I want to live" project to get advice on surrendering.
13:27 SBU press service: Terrorists from the "DPR" retroactively invited foreign observers to observe the pseudo-referendum.
· The SBU intercepted Russian documents inviting so-called "foreign observers" to participate in the "referendum". Law enforcement officers noted that the documents were signed on September 29, two days after the formal completion of the pseudo-vote.
13:15 Russian Media: Printing houses in Russia may stop due to Western sanctions.
· Russian printing houses faced a shortage of foreign equipment, spare parts and raw materials, the supply of which ceased due to sanctions.
12:59 Advisor to Mariupol’s Mayor: The FSB is delaying Ukrainians on the border with Estonia: Russia is blocking the evacuation of Ukrainians, including hundreds of Mariupol residents".
· People have been waiting in line for the sixth day in completely inhumane conditions. The situation is aggravated by a large number of Russians, because they are "served" first of all.
12:17 Belarus Government Website: Lukashenko convened a meeting on military security today to "analyze the military-political situation and work out response measures."
· Belarus participates in a "special operation" of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, but does not send its military, - Lukashenko said at the meeting on military security.
12:05 Defense Intelligence: Mobilized in Russia lack sleeping places, food, uniforms and money.
· As part of the mobilization activities on the territory of the Omsk Tank Engineering Institute, it was planned to place 6 thousand persons. However, by September 30, 9 thousand people actually arrived at the institute.. The management of the institution is not able to provide these personnel with even minimal conditions for living and eating.
· To curb anti-mobilization protests, the Russian police activates the preparation of new "special purpose" units.
KHARKIV
October 5
07:51 Ministry of Internal Affairs: In the Kharkiv region, russian soldiers, lost in local forests, are found almost daily.
· "Due to hunger, they go to settlements where they are detained by specialists of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. And in compliance with the requirements of the Geneva Conventions, they replenish the exchange fund," the message says.
October 4
21:47 Ministry of Internal Affairs: Up to 40 potential collaborators are detained a day at checkpoints in the liberated districts of the Kharkiv region.
21:04 Kharkiv Mayor: The Russian military struck a transformer substation after midnight and part of one of the city's districts was left without electricity.
· "The power engineers worked to eliminate the consequences of the missile strike almost all night. Currently, the district is fully provided with electricity," Terekhov said.
15:28 Regional Prosecutor's Office: The Russian military shelled the village of Shevchenkove in the Kharkiv region.
· It has been previously established that Russia fired S-300 missiles at Shevchenkove.
· "Prosecutors, together with police investigators, conducted an inspection of the sites of destruction and seized evidence of Russian aggression so that in the future all the perpetrators would be punished," the report said.
15:05 Social Networks: Residents of Bohuslavka, Kharkiv region greet the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
13:12 Press service of the National Police: In the village of Veliky Burluk, Kharkiv region, liberated from Russian troops, the Russians turned a police department into a torture chamber for local residents, the police are conducting an investigation.
12:13 Social Networks: A video from the village of recently liberated Borivska, Andriivka, Kharkiv region.
12:00 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Bohuslavka, Kharkiv region.
LUHANSK
October 5
09:45 Luhansk RMA: Mobile communication has disappeared in Kreminna - Russians are wary of cooperation between residents and the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the spread of panic in the Luhansk region.
08:33 Luhansk RMA: Forcibly mobilized men from temporarily occupied Luhansk are sent without training to the units that suffered the greatest losses.
October 4
23:14 Luhansk RMA: A large number of Russian troops were deployed in the city of Kreminna, Luhansk region, to prevent a a counterattack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, by mining the territory around the city.
· "We have information that there are quite a few occupiers there (in Kreminna, - ed.). They mine everything in a row - scatter mines, petals, mine roads, buildings. That is, they are preparing for defense or to slow down the progress of the Armed Forces of Ukraine".
13:58 Luhansk RMA: The Russians destroyed the TV tower in Komyshuvas, Luhansk region.
· Broadcasting from this TV tower 150 m high began more than a year ago. The signal was 50 km.
13:34 Telegram Luhansk RMA: Following liberation we will not allow all people to return to large cities as we will not be able ensure municipal services.
DONETSK
October 5
11:24 Social Networks: The village of Terny, Donetsk region, is liberated from by the Ukrainian military.
10:15: The UN mission, which is supposed to find out the causes of the tragedy in Olenivka, has not yet gone there due to the lack of security guarantees, said Stefan Dujarric, a spokesman for the office of the organization's secretary general.
08:46 Donetsk RMA: Russian troops shelled several settlements in the Donetsk region during the day. As a result, one civilian was killed, six more people were injured.
October 4
17:26: The Ukrainian flag was officially raised over the liberated Lyman, - Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
· Commander of the Land Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Colonel-General Oleksandr Syrsky transferred from the military to the Donetsk Regional Military Administration the authority to establish further life in the liberated settlements.
ZAPORIZHYA
October 5
00:48 IAEA: Released from captivity Igor Murashov will no longer work as director of ZNPP.
09:30 RMA: Confirmed explosions in Zaporizhia.
October 4
17:21 Social Networks: Report explosions in Energodar.
16:40 Former head of the State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate: The first and second nuclear power units of ZAES are mined.
· "We receive reports of bullying from the station staff, as well as Russia's attempts to transfer ZNPP under the jurisdiction of the Russian Federation. It is also known that the first and second blocks are mined," Plachkov said.
· Plachkov also said it was difficult to predict the actions of the Russians because "they even allowed mine explosions on the station's territory":
· "The only thing that can be predicted is that they are trying to do everything to make ZNPP work for the needs of Crimea or the unified system of Russia."
15:58 Zaporizhia RMA: In Vasilyevka - the only settlement through which you can leave the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine to Zaporozhye, the Russians are building a "state border".
· "In Vasylivka, they are trying to equip a "state border", as they believe, with all the rules of crossing that they have invented. Men of draft age are not allowed. Transit from the occupied territory has been suspended from both sides," Starukh said.
· He added that over the past day, only 43 people were able to leave the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine through Vasylivka, while last week this figure reached 1500-2000 people per day.
15:17 Zaporizhia RMA: Over the past day, Russia carried out 114 attacks, including 90 on civilian infrastructure in 23 settlements of the region.
· The Russians used two missiles, 10 cities and towns were fired at from multiple launch rocket systems, 20 from artillery. There were 27 reports of destruction.
· "People are fleeing from the occupiers to the free territory of Ukraine. Yesterday, 43 people managed to break through from the temporarily occupied territories, 11 of them are children," Starukh added.
13:05 Social Networks: Activists of the "Yellow Ribbon" movement put up regular leaflets in occupied Energodar.
DNIPRO
October 5
11:06 RMA: The Russians shelled three communities of the Nikopol district with Grads and heavy artillery - Chervonohryhorivska, Nikopolska and Marganets. Previously, people were not injured.
· In the Chervonohryhorivska community, two houses were destroyed, up to 20 were damaged. Russian shells damaged two lyceums, a church, a store, a gas pipeline and power lines.
00:20 Social Networks: Report explosions in Novomoskovsk, Dnipropetrovsk region.
KHERSON
October 5
10:33 Social Networks: Report explosions in Kherson.
00:24 Social Networks: Report explosions in Nova Kakhovka, Kherson region.
· According to preliminary information, the Armed Forces of Ukraine struck in the area of the Kakhovka HPP.
October 4
23:26 Operational Command South: Confirmed the liberation of 8 settlements of Beryslav district of Kherson region
· Lyubimivka, Khreshchenivka, Zolota Balka, Biliaivka, Ukrainka, Velyka Oleksandrivka, Mala Oleksandrivka, Davydiv Brid.
22:20 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Malaya Oleksandrivka, Kherson region.
22:15 Social Networks: Installation of the Ukrainian flag in the liberated Arkhangelsk, Kherson region.
20:45 Social Networks: Report explosions in Skadovsk, Kherson region.
20:37 Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs: The Armed Forces of Ukraine liberated more than 50 settlements in the Kherson region.
· Yenin added that mobile mobile checkpoints have begun to operate in the region.
17:56 Operational Command South: The Russian military confiscates cars, housing and documents proving the right of ownership from residents of Kherson and The Hola Prystan.
17:19 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Velyka Oleksandrivka, Kherson region.
17:00 Social Networks: Report explosions in Kherson region near the Antonovsky bridge.
16:46 Social Networks: Report explosions in Kherson.
15:08 Social Networks: Report explosions in Kherson.
14:18 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Davydiv Brid, Kherson region.
14:14 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Starosillya, Kherson region.
12:47 Social Networks: A video from the recently liberated village of Dudchany, Kherson region.
12:22 Social Networks: In recently liberated Novopetrivka, Kherson region, local residents greet the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
MYKOLAIV
October 5
10:32 SBU press service: The SBU identified Russian agents involved in preparing a "referendum" in the temporarily occupied territory of Mykolaiv region.
· Two of the defendants have already been charged, and the organizer of the pseudo-vote, who is hiding from justice in the temporarily occupied territory, has been notified of suspicion in absentia.
09:24 Social Networks: Report explosions in the Mykolaiv region.
October 4
14:42 Social Networks: Report explosions in the Mykolaiv region.
OTHER REGIONS
October 5
04:07 Kyiv RMA: Announced a repeated series of strikes by kamikaze drones on the infrastructure of Bila Tserkva.
03:46 Social Networks: Report repeated explosions in Bila Tserkva, Kyiv region.
03:30 Kyiv RMA: Information about the explosions in Bila Tserkva was confirmed.
· "According to preliminary data, the city is attacked by kamikaze drones. Because of this, there are fires at infrastructure facilities. Emergency services are already in place. We find out information about the destruction and victims."
02:07 Social Networks: Report explosions in Bila Tserkva, Kyiv region.
October 4
23:47 Social Networks: Report explosions in Odesa region.
18:00 Ivano Frankivsk RMA: The government has doubled compensation payments under the Shelter program. The state will compensate 900 UAH per month for each internally displaced person.
· In this way the Government will reduce the financial burden on the IDPs during the heating season.
12:51 Operational Command South: Russian troops tried to attack Odessa with a kamikaze drone of the "Shahed-136" type. Air defense forces destroyed unmanned aerial vehicle over the sea.
12:19 Social Networks: Report explosions in Odesa
Comparing Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to Russian invasion of Ukraine using Wikipedia and Ukraine Ministry of Defense Daily Bulletins. Soviet and Russian military losses not including captured equipment.
SOURCES
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://euromaidanpress.com/
https://invite.viber.com/?g2=AQBD3wxTrZ6XUU7IdXeHUfjVCydekezQCCGuwYnT6qPd1r7n1aVbFIewa6ng6Lis