Ukraine – 6/27 Sitrep
Compiled by: Robert Homans
Twitter: @rhomansjr
June 27, 2022
Kremenchuk Missile Strike
Earlier today, 2 Russian missiles hit a shopping center in the city of Kremanchuk, southeast of Kyiv. According to reports there were approximately 1,000 people in the shopping center at the time the missiles hit. The latest count is 10 dead. Expect the casualty count to rise.
Kremenchuk is the location of Ukraine largest oil refinery, which to my knowledge has been hit twice and it is currently out of commission. It’s possible, though unlikely, that the missiles were bound for the refinery but, given that the refinery is out of commission and the number of strikes against civilian targets throughout Ukraine in the last 24 – 48 hours, it seems that the shopping center was the target. Russia seems intent on engaging in terror tactics against civilians.
Times Radio – Gen. Richard Shirreff
This is a very interesting interview with the former Deputy NATO Supreme Allied Commander/Europe. Gen. Shirreff was asked to respond to the goal expressed today by Pres. Zelenskyy at the G-7 meeting, that the war should be over by the end of the year.
· Gen. Shirreff called Zelenskyy’s goal a “big ask,” but one that should be articulated.
· He said that Zelenskyy’s goal was possible, but it would require a complete re-thinking by NATO, but it depends on what comes out of the NATO meeting in Madrid.
· To achieve the goal, he said it would require the establishment of 6-9 heavy brigades of up to 5,000 men each (British Army standard), plus all the support including artillery.
· Gen. Shirriff called pushing Russia back to the February 23 lines, in both the Donbas and the South, would be a significant “tactical defeat” for Russia, and re-taking occupied Donbas and Crimea a “strategic retreat.”
· He expects NATO to announce an upgraded force along its eastern border of 300,000 troops.
· He said NATO must be ready for the “worst case,” which he said is war with Russia.
· Gen. Sherriff said that there would be no peace in Europe until Putin, and Putinism, no longer holds sway in the Kremlin.
6/27 Sitrep
INTERNATIONAL
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Lithuania was prepared in advance for Russia's antics in connection with blocking the transit of sanctioned goods by rail to the Kaliningrad region,"- said Lithuanian political scientist Vitis Jurkonis. "It's not a matter of choice, but we must understand that the main focus should still be on the war in Ukraine and support there,"- said the political scientist.
Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer commented on the shelling of Kyiv by Russian troops on June 26. Nehammer stressed that the photographs that were handed over to the Austrians from Vitaliy Klytschko's office have been verified and confirmed as genuine. "The brutal rocket attacks on civilians are unbearable. I do not understand how it is possible commit such crimes. The bloodshed must finally stop,"- he said.
Russians complain that Russian-language TV channels have disappeared from the broadcast network in Turkish hotels, primarily news channels. This is explained by the fact that most channels in Türkiye are broadcast through German providers, and Russian channels are disconnected from the broadcast package due to sanctions.
Haberturk TV: Turkish Presidential Spokesman: Turkey will not join the sanctions against Russia. “We cannot do this, as it will hit our economy first of all. On the other hand, we have a mediating role, because everything goes through Turkey,"
● Agreements can be reached: Erdogan will meet with the leaders of Sweden and Finland, as well as the NATO Secretary General. "At the request of the NATO Secretary General, a quadripartite meeting will be held in Madrid at the level of leaders of heads of state with the participation of our president. Certain agreements can be reached at it".
NHK TV: Japan will expand sanctions against the Russian Federation by adding about 160 more individuals and legal entities to the lists. In addition, the Japanese parliament banned the sale of goods to 90 organizations that are related to the defense sector - channel.
Reuters: NATO will increase military assistance to Ukraine; this decision is expected from the three-day summit in Madrid. Diplomats say NATO leaders hope to agree on increased military aid to Ukraine, increased joint defense spending, cementing new resolve to counter China's military rise, and deploying more troops to defend the Baltic states.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman: Britain is preparing for a nuclear war with the Russian Federation. “The British establishment never gets tired of preparing for a nuclear apocalypse" in order to "divert attention from the internal political collapse of the British monarchy in the light of endless conspiracies, crises and simply corruption scandals.
Bloomberg: Russia - default on external debt for the first time in 104 years. “Russia is defaulting on its sovereign foreign-currency debt for the first time in a century [the last was in 1918], the culmination of increasingly severe Western sanctions that have cut off the path of payments to foreign creditors.” June 26, the grace period for the payment of interest payments in the amount of $100 million, which had to be paid by May 27, expired.
CNN: The US Secretary of State said that the goal of the Russian president was to end the sovereignty and independence of Ukraine, erase it from the map of the world and include it in Russia. A "tactical brutal battle" is now underway in the east, but a sovereign, independent Ukraine will last longer than Putin, Blinken said.
New York Times: The US plans to announce the purchase of an advanced medium-to-long-range anti-aircraft missile system for Ukraine. Ukrainian officials have requested the NASAMS missile defense system. Other military assistance may also be announced, which includes additional artillery ammunition and counter-battery radars.
ZDF TV: The President of the European Commission opposes the boycott of the G20 autumn summit if Vladimir Putin participates.
The Times: A unit of the Ukrainian special operations forces performs sabotage tasks on the territory of the Russian Federation, in particular, to destroy ammunition depots and oil storage facilities.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
French television published an interview with a French volunteer from the Ukrainian "International Legion". According to volunteer Karel, there are already dozens of French dead.
Russian "TV presenter" Vladimir Solovyov called German Chancellor Olaf Scholz a moth, and he also expressed regret about the reunification of Germany.
Ukrainian Ministry of Health: Residents of the Canadian city of Aigenville collected 90,000 Canadian dollars for the medical needs of Ukraine. To raise these funds, they organized an auction, where they presented more than 60 lots: from a certificate for staying in an Ottawa hotel to food.
Welt am Sonntag: Ukraine, on its own initiative and at its own expense, bought 2900 RGW 90 Matador anti-tank missile systems from the German concern Dynamit Nobel Defense (DND).
Lithuanian MEP: Lithuania plans to veto the decision of the European Commission to allow unlimited transit of Russian goods through the EU. According to him, the EC is now preparing a document allowing the transportation of sanctioned Russian goods to Kaliningrad, that is, "from Russia to Russia", but through the territory of the European Union.
Latvian National Armed Forces: Spanish Nasams anti-aircraft missile systems have been deployed in Latvia to protect the Baltic region.
PKP Intercity: Poland cancels free rail travel for Ukrainians from July 1. The current rules for issuing free tickets for refugees from Ukraine will be valid until Thursday, June 30.
European Council President: The Russian government is deliberately provoking a global food crisis on the planet, using food as a weapon in war
Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine: Russia is increasing its military presence in Belarus. The leadership of institutions and organizations of the Gomel region was warned about the likelihood of the return of units of the RF Armed Forces. At the same time, the Russians are planning to increase the number of operational-tactical aviation on the territory of Belarus. Officially - to conduct joint air patrols within the framework of a joint combat training center for training aviation units and air defense units. For this, a flight of 10 aircraft to the Baranovychi airfield is planned.
Former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Linas Linkevicius reacted to the yesterday morning’s shelling of Kyiv. "Russian missiles hit residential areas in the center of Kyiv. Messages and reminders for the G7 summit in Germany. Russia today is a disease and should be treated accordingly. No compromises or negotiations. Just block everything until the war machine runs out," -he tweeted.
US President Joe Biden reacted to today's missile attack on Kyiv. "The Russian missile attacks on Kyiv are yet another manifestation of their barbarity, - he said.
DW: The G7 summit has opened in Germany. The war in Ukraine will be one of the main topics.
● During the summit, there may be talk of an analogue of the "Marshall Plan" for Ukraine. New sanctions against Russia are also expected to be discussed. In particular, some G7 countries have already agreed to ban the import of Russian gold.
● Twitter: German Chancellor - We remain united, we remain together. This is our clear message to President Putin. Welcome US President Joe Biden to the G7 summit.
● British Prime Minister: Now is not the time to give up on Ukraine, they need the support and determination of the G7 more than ever. The UK will continue to support Ukraine at every turn because we know their security is our security and their freedom is our freedom."
● Attempts to resolve the conflict in Ukraine at this stage will only contribute to maintaining instability in the world and strengthening the position of Moscow, - Boris Johnson told French President Emmanuel Macron during a meeting in Germany.
● Now there is an opportunity to turn the tide of the war, – Boris Johnson and Emmanuel Macron say during the meeting, discussing support for Ukraine at the G7 summit.
● The leaders of Great Britain and France agree to provide more support to Ukraine.
● The refusal of the G7 countries to import Russian gold will deprive the Russian Federation of approximately $19 billion a year, hitting the second most profitable export item
● Bloomberg: The G7 countries will commit themselves to the indefinite support of Ukraine, – reference to the draft communique.
● Kyodo: The G7 should not ease sanctions and pressure on Russia, – Japanese Prime Minister.
● CNN: The G7 countries are aware that the “party of hydrocarbons” from Russia has come to an end and are looking for ways to adapt to new realities, – British Prime Minister.
● Participants of the G7 summit before the start of the meeting joked about the photo of Putin with a naked torso on horseback. Boris Johnson invited G7 leaders to strip to the waist, while Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau went even further and offered to saddle their horses.
● Askanews: At the G7 summit, Italian Prime Minister Draghi announced the need to introduce a ceiling on prices for energy imports from Russia and eliminate dependence on the Russian Federation.
European Council President: The EU will study the issue of joining the ban on gold imports from Russia, which is planned to be introduced by the UK, Canada, the US and Japan. We are ready to watch, study. See if it's possible to target the Russian economy without hurting our economy in some way. The EU is cautious about banning Russia from gold and capping oil prices.
The UK will act as a guarantor of a $525 million loan to Ukraine, the press service of the British government reports. This loan will cover the cost of public sector salaries, as well as the maintenance of schools and hospitals.
Belarusian Gayun: Two more rockets were launched from Mozyr towards Ukraine
Rallies in support of Ukraine were held yesterday in Valencia, Garmisch-Partekihern, Hannover, Ingolstadt (Bavaria, Germany), Seville, Dresden, Budapest, Brasov (Romania), Zagreb, and Kelowna, Canada.
NATIONAL
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Security Service of Ukraine: Sergeant Krasnov, appointed a hero of the Russian Federation, was not a hero who killed 20 soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and pulled from a burning car wounded comrades, but a simple lucky man who survived the attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In an intercepted conversation with his wife he said, "It wasn’t like that at all! I never actually did that! When the armored personnel carrier was hit, I was pulling out the bodies, that is all," - he said
Press service Russian Blacke Sea Fleet: The shelling of Ukraine from the Black Sea is led by a former Ukrainian officer. In 2014, Ukrainian officer Dmytro Sukhar changed his oath and remained in the military unit captured by the Russian occupiers. After swearing an oath to the Russian armed forces, the captain continued his service in the Russian Black Sea Fleet.
British intelligence: June 27, 2022 11:00 AM
● While Russia's main operational focus remains the Severodonetsk-Lysychansk pocket, a week of consistently heavy shelling suggests Russia is now trying to increase momentum on the northern Izium axis.
● Ukrainian forces continue to hold the line in that sector, making good use of forested terrain to assist their defence
● Over the coming weeks, Russia's campaign will highly likely increasingly rely on echelons of reserve forces. These consist of several distinct components, which Russia has almost certainly already started to field.
● Russia's Combat Army Reserve is a recent innovation of part- time but volunteer reservists, which deploy as whole units typically ear-marked for rear area security tasks. It is made up of part-time volunteer reservists.
● The mobilization manpower reserve is a significant reserve of veterans who have served in the regular forces over the past five years. The Russian authorities are likely to use volunteers from this category to replenish the third battalions in the regular brigades.
● Despite a continued shortfall In the number of deployable reservists for Ukraine, the Russian leadership likely remains reluctant to oder a general mobilisation
Institute for the Study of War: June 27, 2022 9:56 AM
● The Russian army is conducting operations east of Bakhmut to maintain control over the Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway
● Russian Colonel General Gennady Zhidko became commander of military operations in Ukraine.
● Russian troops continued their offensive on the southern outskirts of Lysychansk, consolidated control over Severodonetsk and adjacent settlements.
● The Russians conducted unsuccessful ground attacks northwest of Slovyansk.
● Russian troops stepped up artillery strikes on Ukrainian positions in the south.
● The Russian occupation authorities are trying to stop the activity of Ukrainian partisans in the occupied territories through increased filtering measures and the kidnapping of civilians.
● The Kremlin continues to manipulate Russian legislation to carry out "secret mobilization" to support operations in Ukraine without conducting a full mobilization.
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: June 27, 2022 7:43 AM
● In the Slavic direction, the Russians concentrated their efforts in the direction of the settlement of Dolyna. They are advancing in the direction of the settlement of Mazanivka, the battle continues.
● In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops are trying to blockade the city of Lysychansk from the south. Fighting continues near Vovchayarka. Near Verkhnyokamyanka, the Defense Forces inflicted heavy losses on Russian troops and forced them to withdraw.
● In the Bakhmut direction, the Russian offensive in the areas of Berestove and Vershina has been stopped. Russian troops withdrew.
● In the Kharkiv direction, the Russians carried out assault operations in the area of the settlements of Dementievka and Rozpidnyk, but were unsuccessful.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
Ukraine asked Switzerland to help with the provision of consular services for Ukrainians in Russia. This was stated in an interview with the Swiss media by the President of the Swiss Confederation, Ignazio Cassis.
First Deputy Ministry of Agrarian Policy: Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, Russia has already stolen at least 400,000 tons of grain from the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories.
Ukrainian Interior Ministry: The Russians have changed the strategy of missile strikes on Ukraine. They fire dozens of missiles from different points, and therefore it is difficult for air defense to cope with them. “Launched missiles were developed in the middle of the last century and were intended to destroy aircraft carriers, cruisers and sea vessels. They have up to a thousand kilograms of explosive charge and a speed of up to 3-4 thousand km, so they are difficult to shoot down.”
Volodymyr Zelenskyi discussed with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau a further increase in defense support for Ukraine.
Ukrainian Defense Minister: The condition for the resumption of dialogue between the West and the Russian Federation can only be the demilitarization of the European part of the aggressor state.
Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine for European and Euro-Atlantic Integration: The EU will not deprive Ukraine of candidate status if the conditions of the European Commission are not met by the end of the year.
Operational summary of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: 18:47 JUNE 26
● In the Siversk direction, to demonstrate the presence and constrain the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Russians are holding separate units of the troops of the Western Military District in the border areas of the Briansk and Kursk regions
● In the Kharkiv direction, the Russian troops tried to improve the tactical situation in the area of the settlement of Dementiivka by assault actions, but they failed.
● In the Sloviansk direction, the Ukrainian military successfully repelled enemy assaults in the areas of the Dolyna, Kurulka and Mazanivka.
● In the Donetsk direction, the Russians, with the support of artillery, are trying to block the city of Lysychansk from the south.
● The Ukrainian military inflicted significant losses on the enemy in the area of the village of Pavlivka, the Donetsk region. The Russians withdrew after an unsuccessful assault.
● With the support of army aviation, the Russian troops tried to regain control over the settlement of Potiomkyne, the Kherson region, but failed and retreated.
● In connection with the refusal to return to the territory of Ukraine, a significant part of the Russian soldiers assigned to restore combat capability, the command of individual units banned any leave for personnel.
Prosecutor General: The Russian troops commit 100-200 war crimes in Ukraine every day
The Ukrainian State Security Service intercepted new Russian Federal Security Bureau training manuals: Russian officials teach them how to properly praise Putin and comment on the war in Ukraine. The document has a note "for strict use". Employees of the SSU intercepted it while sending it through secret communication channels to the federal executive bodies of the Russian Federation.
● Smashed to dust - the military of the so-called "DNR" tells about heavy fighting with the Ukrainian military. Many wounded and dead Russian soldiers. This is evidenced by the interception of a telephone conversation by the SSU.
British Ambassador to Ukraine called the morning shelling in the Shevchenkovskyi district of Kyiv "deadly cowardice". "Kyiv was shelled by Russia at night. The target was a residential area. There is nothing military there. What murderous cowardice,"- the diplomat tweeted.
Air Force Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Tu-95 and Tu-160 strategic bombers from the Caspian Sea region were used in Kyiv. They take off from the Astrakhan region. These bombers have Kh-101 missiles that can hit targets as far away as 5.5 thousand km.
CHERNIHIV
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
State Border Guard: Russian troops hit one of the agricultural enterprises of the Chernihiv region during the night shelling. A grain storage facility was destroyed and agricultural machinery, hangars, and agricultural machinery were damaged.
● During the second wave of missile strikes on June 26, the Russians launched 2 more missiles at the Desna of the Chernihiv region from the territory of Belarus.
SUMY
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Regional Military Administration: Last night, closer to 22:00, there were shots from automatic weapons along the border in the territory of the Shalygin community. And at night the Russians fired two rockets in the direction of Okhtyrka. There are no casualties or destruction.
● As a result of the shelling of the Sumy region, one person died in a day, another was hospitalized
KHARKIV
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Regional Military Administration: 2 people were killed, 5 were injured because of shelling of Kharkiv and the region. Over the past day, the Russians shelled the Shevchenkovskyi and Kyiv districts of Kharkiv and the Kharkivskyi and Chuguevskyi districts of the region. At night in Kharkiv, a Russian rocket hit the school yard.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ] Regional Military Administration, Oleh Synehubov, shows the consequences of the shelling by the Russians of the sports complex of the Kharkiv Polytechnic University. He adds that more than 4,500 buildings has been destroyed in the region since the beginning of the war.
LUHANSK
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Regional Military Administration: calls on residents to evacuate from the Lysychansk territorial community. The situation in the city is extremely difficult.
● Lysychansk is being attacked from the Popasnyanskyi direction, we are holding the defense. The city has a lot of damaged housing and infrastructure, two churches
● The Russians are trying to blockade the city from the south, destroying everything their artillery and volley fire systems can reach. There is a lot of damage.
● Fights are taking place in Volcheyarivka. The Russians tried to attack in the Verkhnokamyanka area, but had to retreat.
Mayor of Severodonetsk: Almost all units of the Ukrainian army left Severodonetsk and took with them the funds they had
● Evacuation of civilians from areas around Severodonetsk is now impossible, only towards the Russian Federation
● The situation with water and food in Severodonetsk is critical. The Russians once demonstratively distributed aid to the camera
● There are 7-8 thousand citizens left in Severodonetsk. Russians seize the surviving houses and live there
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
State Emergency Service: Today, bread and drinking water were delivered to Lуsуchansk, Luhansk region, and 6 people, including one child, were evacuated.
DONETSK
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Mayor: The Russians attacked Slovyansk, Donetsk region, at night. Houses and power lines were damaged, part of the city was left without electricity. There is no information about the victims.
Regional Military Administration: As a result of Russian shelling in the Donetsk region on Sunday, one civilian was killed, 8 more were injured.
Advisor to the mayor of Mariupol: When examining buildings in the Livoberezhnyi district, in a house with an air bomb hit at the intersection of Victory avenue and Blvd. The Russians discovered more than 100 bodies of those who died from the bombardment. Exhumation continues. Priority is given to schoolyards and kindergartens. After exhumation, the odor pits are treated here. No decoration is carried out on the streets and yards after exhumations. The bodies are still under the rubble. The Russians do not plan to confiscate and bury.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
Regional Military Administration: The Russians continue to destroy the social infrastructure and enterprises of the Donbas. Over the past few days, schools in Toretsk and Maiaky have been shelled.
● Once again under Russian fire - the city of Avdiivka and the Avdiivka coke plant.
● The Russian Federation is accumulating forces in the direction of Slovyansk and will try to repeat the scenario of Mariupol
Advisor to the mayor of Mariupol: 1 therapist and 1 gynecologist remained for 30,000 residents of the Primorskyi district in the city hospital No. 9 in Mariupol
● The columns of Russian military equipment have been moving through Mariupol in a western direction for the fourth day, and a limited corps of Russian military remains in the city itself to guard facilities
ZAPORIZHIA
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
Forbes: Green Energy Tokmak solar power plant was not stolen, but damaged. SES was in the line of fire for some time when the Russians were advancing. And because of the shelling from the Grads and other weapons, it was partially destroyed. The station lost about 20% of its power. Now it operates at about 40 MW .
Mayor of Energodar: Russians in Energodar kidnap people for money, a fee of 50 thousand hryvnias. Hundreds of city dwellers are now in captivity. A significant part of them are skilled workers of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. People are tortured with electric shocks, beaten, and detained for weeks, and sometimes even months.
DNIPRO
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
Regional State Administration: Russian troops struck Zelenodolsk, Dnipropetrovsk region, three times from Gradov and barrel artillery. Two civilians were wounded. There is a lot of destruction of infrastructure and houses in the city
KHERSON
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
A video appeared on the network from the site of the explosion of the car of collaborator Iryna Makhneva in Kakhovka. The so-called "Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Kherson region" writes that the explosive device went off before Makhneva managed to get behind the wheel. She didn't get hurt. Yesterday in Kakhovka of Kherson region the car of the collaborator Irina Makhneva blew up.
ODESA
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
The first photos of the consequences of an enemy missile attack on the Odesa region appeared in social media. As a result of the attack, 8 people were injured, including a child.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
Russian media, citing sources in emergency services, write that the 'Chornomornaftohaz' platform in the Black Sea was again under fire. According to preliminary data, no one was hurt.
Operational command Pivden (South) The activity of search and rescue vessels of the Russian Federation was recorded in the area of the Odesa gas condensate fields. It is likely that the Russian troops are evacuating personnel due to an accident on one of the platforms. The data is being specified.
● The air defense forces shot down two Russian Onyx missiles launched from the Crimea on approaching Odesa
CRIMEA
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
In annexed Crimea, Simferopol, five districts were flooded due to heavy rains. During the day, two-thirds of the monthly rainfall fell there. Many houses were flooded, and in some areas the downpours continued.
KYIV
[ Monday, June 27, 2022 ]
The number of people injured in a Russian missile attack in Kyiv has risen to 6. Four people were hospitalized. The mother of a seven-year-old girl, a citizen of the Russian Federation, is in a state of moderate severity.
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
State Emergency Service: As of 15:00, some local fires in the nine-storey residential building in Kyiv, which was damaged as a result of the shelling, have been eliminated. Emergency rescue operations and dismantling of debris continue. During the analysis of the debris 3 people were rescued, including 1 child. 113 rescuers and 22 units of equipment were involved in the work.
Kyiv Mayor Vitaliy Klytschko addressed the city residents. The enemy attacked the capital again today. Russian barbarians continue to launch rockets into houses and kindergartens. When you hear an alarm - don't neglect your safety - go down to the shelterd.
CHERKASY
[ Sunday, June 26, 2022 ]
The railway track was damaged as a result of shelling by the Russian Federation in Cherkasy, also one dead and five injured. Infrastructure damaged.
RIVNO
Regional Military Administration: 14 people were injured as a result of missile attacks on the city of Sarny on Saturday. 8 of them are hospitalized, 2 are in serious condition, 2 are being treated on an outpatient basis. Unfortunately, four people died”
Comparing Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to Russian invasion of Ukraine using Wikipedia and Ukraine Ministry of Defense Daily Bulletins. Soviet and Russian military losses not including captured equipment.
SOURCES
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://euromaidanpress.com/
https://invite.viber.com/?g2=AQBD3wxTrZ6XUU7IdXeHUfjVCydekezQCCGuwYnT6qPd1r7n1aVbFIewa6ng6Lis
If the Ukrainian defense forces limit themselves to operating on Ukrainian territory, then they've lost, because the Russians are firing at them from Russia and Belarus and essentially international airspace and international waters. Bombers firing cruise missiles must simply be shot down, artillery firing from the RF and Belarus must be taken out, troops running "exercises" in Belarus - and their supply dumps - must be interdicted and destroyed. Fighting with one hand tied behind your back, while your opponent fights you with both fists, and kicks you with everything he has, is a fight you will lose. The Russians are using unrestricted warfare, and the response must be without restriction. The point is to stop the threat, and make the projection of force too expensive to continue.
Why are there a 1,000 people shopping in a mall when the country is in a War. It's all absurd to me.
Also, thank you for your substack, I read it everyday.