Bob Homans July 4
20220704
Ukraine – 7/4 Sitrep
Compiled by: Robert Homans
Twitter: @rhomansjr
July 4, 2022
Happy July 4th! During the nearly 250 years since July 4th, 1776, the United States has been called the “beacon of liberty” and similar descriptions (as well as many that are less flattering). Perhaps it is now time for Americans to transfer this mantle of Beacon of Liberty to Ukraine. I say that with what very little authority I have, as a direct descendent of one of the signers of the Declaration of Independence.
Latest Denys
In his latest report, Denys expresses surprise at the speed at which Lysychansk fell to the Russians. Instead of a frontal attack from the east, as was the case in Sievierdonetsk, the Russians attacked Lysychansk from the sides, from north and south. In the north, the Russians seemed to have mastered the art of crossing a river, after losing at least 1 entire battalion battle group when they tried the same crossing a few weeks ago.
The other interesting point in Denys’ report is the increasing number of artillery hits inside Russian territory, both in Donbas as well as in the south, as shown on his tactical map via satellite images. The destruction of the Russian base at Melitopol had to have been partly the result of Ukraine’s use of HIMARS missile systems. The closest Ukrainian held territory is approximately 70km. from Melitopol.
Times Radio
Kira Rudik, Member of the Ukrainian Parliament, and Leader of the Holos Party, one of the original pro-European parties in Parliament, being interviewed by an appeaser (more nonsense about Putin “saving face,” etc). It is worth watching every minute, and then ask yourselves the question – is their any Western politician able to articulate a clear set of principles better than those articulated by Kira Rudik in this interview? It is leaders like Kira Rudik that are the reasons for my transfer the mantle of “beacon of liberty” to Ukraine.
More Lawrence Freedman
I first posted a piece by Lawrence Freedman last June 29th. This is his latest – you can subscribe to his Ukraine articles on Substack. Some excerpts:
· “Zelensky has been clear on what he means by a political victory. At a minimum Russian forces must withdraw to the position of 23 February.”
· “Their (Russia’s) hope and expectation is that they might still get a negotiated conclusion, not because Ukraine will capitulate but because its Western backers will tire of the war and the heavy costs it is imposing on their economies.”
· “The (Western) commitments have now been made to the point where a Ukrainian defeat will look like a NATO defeat.”
· “Both sides therefore must adapt, but, admittedly oversimplifying, the Russians are adapting into becoming more of a 20th Century army while the Ukrainians are becoming more of a 21st Century army. The Ukrainian adaption process will therefore be taking longer but the prospect at the end is of a much more capable force.”
· “The most valuable targets, however, may be Russian ammunition dumps, and there have been regular reports over the past week of these being hit. Over time thus will degrade the effectiveness of Russian artillery.” (NOTE: This is aptly illustrated in the latest Denys)
· “They (Ukraine) will therefore have to adopt different tactics, making the most of the accuracy of their new weapons, concentrating on supply lines, bases, and command centres, making opportunistic advances, using guerrilla tactics in the city against the occupying forces, leaving Russian troops uncertain about where the next attack is coming from.” (NOTE: These tactics are now being used around Kherson & Melitopol)
· “Russia cannot afford an inch-by-inch retreat to the border, taking losses all the way. At some point they may need to cut their losses.”
· “Should Ukrainian forces be able to create any momentum, however, then the situation could move in their favour very quickly. Can the Ukrainians win? Yes. Will the Ukrainians win? Not yet clear, but the possibility should not be dismissed.”
July 4th Sitrep (my comments in bold face)
One of the unintended consequences of good intentions in the current effort to restore shipments of Ukrainian food to starving people will be the development of effective land logistics linking Ukrainian cargos with the EU.
The most likely outcome will be the construction of one or possibly two high volume gauge transfer terminals similar to the Dostyk terminal near the China Kazakhstan border. Currently Dostyk has a transfer capacity of 100,000 TEU and when fully built will have a transfer capacity of 700,000 TEU annually.
A TEU stands for a twenty-foot equivalent container which on average has 33 cubic meters of space, and a maximum load capacity of 28,000 kilograms or 28 tons. Wheat has a density of 790 kg per cubic meter. One TEU of wheat is the equivalent of 26 tons.
A high-volume gauge transfer terminal, working at a capacity similar to the Dostyk terminal, could export 18 million metric tons of wheat annually. Two terminals would cover almost two thirds of the grain Ukraine exported in the 2020 2021 marketing year. (An agricultural marketing year runs from July 1 to June 30).
However, if terminals are built, it is unlikely they would be fully dedicated to handling food commodities. Just the same they would provide more cost-effective logistics for Ukrainian animal feed grains, vegetable protein meal and vegetable oil than sea to northern and north western Europe. Further these commodities would be cheaper than local production in those regions.
Creating low-cost logistical avenues for Ukrainian agricultural commodities to Europe would threaten EU farmers and the Common Agricultural Program. This would in turn make the accession difficulties faced by Poland in joining the EU because of its agricultural potential pale in significance. Poland negotiated on Agriculture with the EU for nine years. Ukraine would most likely never be included in CAP and its access to European consumers held under quota constraints.
Another unintended consequence of competition between rail and sea for agricultural exports would be lower volumes by sea, less revenue for ports, and therefore less private sector interest in port rehabilitation after the invasion ends in Russian defeat.
Ultimately whatever the improved land export logistics end up being Ukrainian agricultural commodity exports will gain greater flexibility and lower cost. This will make Ukrainian agriculture even more competitive and have negative consequences on high-cost producers in the EU and North America.
INTERNATIONAL
Monday, July 04, 2022
More than 70% of Russians support the actions of their army in Ukraine, according to a sociological survey conducted by the Levada Center
Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The UK authorities are considering seizing frozen Russian assets to transfer them to Ukraine.
The US Federal Communications Commission has asked Apple and Google to remove TikTok from their app stores in the coming days. The US authorities have confirmed the leak of the application users' data which are handed over to the China authorities. TikTok is called a threat to national security and a «wolf in sheep‘s clothing».
Ukrainian Ambassador to France: Odesa may be added to the UNESCO list by the end of the year.
CBS: German Chancellor - Germany cannot send weapons to Kyiv as intensively as the United States does. "I think you need to understand that there is a difference between us and a country like the United States: Washington spends a lot on defense, invests a lot in it, and therefore has large stockpiles of weapons," Scholz said.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
FoxNews: National Security Council - The decision regarding the negotiations between the Russian Federation and Ukraine to resolve the conflict will be taken only by President Zelenskyi, the United States intends to support him in this, but the time for dialogue has not yet come.
German Economy Minister: Did not rule out the termination of Russian gas supplies to Germany. Putin has contracts for the supply of gas and he simply will not receive money if he does not fulfill his obligations.
German President: With Ukraine's victory, a "new era" will begin in the world. "The brutal aggressive war of the Russian Federation against Ukraine has caused the strongest dynamics of geopolitical and geo-economic changes. The end and consequences of this dynamics are not remotely foreseeable, but no one will be able to avoid this", – Steinmeier believes.
Russian media: Russian consumers were sold moldy hamburger buns in one of the Moscow establishments "Tasty - and that's it", which took over McDonald's in Russia. Representatives of the company in a commentary to Russian media assured that they would deal with the situation and change the supplier.
.Reuters: Ukrainian Ambassador to Türkiye - A Russian ship carrying Ukrainian grain was detained in Türkiye. According to him, the ship was detained by Turkish customs officers who consulted with the Ukrainian side. Tomorrow, investigators will begin to ascertain the origin of the grain and determine whether it was stolen.
Minister of Defense: The United States will transfer three NASAMS missile systems to Ukraine. These are medium to long-range anti-aircraft missile systems that are especially effective against incoming cruise missiles, like the one that recently destroyed the shopping center in Kremenchuk.
Ceske Noviny: Czech President Milos Zeman will support further arms supplies to Ukraine and participation in the training of Ukrainian soldiers. “If there hadn’t been Russian aggression in Ukraine, I wouldn’t have agreed to this”.
The former editor of the Russian Channel One, Marina Ovsiannikova, was fired from her job at the German edition of Die Welt – Ovsiannikova writes on her Instagram. She notes that she was fired due to the end of the contract with the German edition.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman: Bulgaria has reduced to zero the possibility of the functioning of the Russian diplomatic mission in Sofia".
● If the Kyiv regime continues provocations at the behest of Western curators, they will not do well
ST24: Slovak Prime Minister - Slovakia can deliver its MiG-29 aircraft and tanks to Ukraine. Prior to this, the leaders of Slovakia and the Czech Republic announced that from September the Czech Republic will help Slovakia protect its airspace until the latter receives F-16 fighter jets.
Bloomberg: The European Union can provide more than 500 billion euros for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine. At a donor conference in Lugano (Switzerland), Ukraine will present a large-scale project for the restoration of the country. The EU is expected to cover the bulk of the total financial assistance, which could exceed 500 billion euros.
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi said that the Israeli Supreme Court ordered the country's government to remove all additional restrictions on the entry of Ukrainian citizens.
Military expert Oleh Zhdanov claims that in the photo posted on social networks in the morning by residents of Bilhorod, you can see the first stage of the Pantsir missile. This anti-aircraft system is not in service with the Ukrainian army, but the Russian armed forces have it.
Reuters: German Chancellor - Germany and its allies are discussing the conditions for providing Ukraine with security guarantees after the end of the war unleashed by Russia. "We are discussing with close allies about the security guarantees we can provide. This is a continuous process. It is clear that it will not be the same as if someone were a member of NATO," - Scholz said.
Press secretary of the President of Russia: Kyiv must understand the conditions of the Russian Federation, agree to them and sit down at the negotiating table, fix the document.
Journal du Dimanche: British Foreign Secretary did not agree with the opinion of Prime Minister that a woman at the head of Russia would not have allowed the outbreak of war in Ukraine. "I believe that women have the same ability to do evil as men," - Truss said in an interview.
Exhibit A in Truss’ remarks is Margarita Simonyan, the Head of the Russian State broadcaster, RT. Does anyone really believe that Simonyan would be any less bloodthirsty than Putin? Personally, I am still trying to figure out what happened during Simonyan’s year in the State of New Hampshire, as a secondary school exchange student, especially considering that all New Hampshire vehicle license plates contain the slogan, “Live Free or Die.”
The US Embassy in Moscow removed the address from its website after the territory near the diplomatic mission was renamed by the city authorities into "Donetsk People's Republic Square.” I would’ve thought that the Russians would come up with something more creative. I have some ideas.
Advisor to Ukraine’s Interior Minister: Putin has signed a new decree on preparations for mobilization. According to him, a few days ago a decree was signed on "mobilization as a technical one, meaning factories, enterprises, and the possibility of human mobilization is not ruled out.
● Denysenko added that the Russians want to watch the war on TV, but categorically do not want to fight, so the shelling of Russian cities is probably a provocation, so that the Russians would be easier to react to the general mobilization.
According to the governor of the region Hladkov, the death toll from the shelling of Bilhorod has risen to four.
Yle: In Finland, they proposed to place a NATO base on the border with Russia. This proposal was made by the mayor of the Finnish city of Lappeenranta. The distance from it to the Russian Vyborg is less than 100 km. What will be interesting to watch is if Finland joining NATO would result in an increase in clandestine support for ethnic Finns, who now live in Russia as a result of the treaty ending the 1939-1940 Russo Finnish War.
Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine: Russian defense enterprises refuse to repair damaged military equipment of Russians. The conflict between the military leadership of Russia and the directors of defense plants increasingly excludes the possibility of sending new combat armored vehicles to the combat zone.
On July 2, 2022, the Russian media published a video that the Chief of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov arrived in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. Allegedly, to check the grouping of Russian troops. But in fact, Russian media showed a video sequence with a photo two months ago. This is evidenced by the metadata of the video of the Zvezda TV channel. The footage with Gerasimov used for the video is dated May 5.
NATIONAL
Monday, July 04, 2022
Institute for the Study of War: The Armed Forces of Ukraine will fire using HIMARS to disrupt Russian supply routes in the Kharkiv region. “Kupiansk is an important logistics center for the Russians, it is located about 50 km from the front line. Then - Volchansk (15-20 km from the front), and Izіum is the most vulnerable, because they are located about 15 km from the nearest front line,” the message says.
Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada: The Conference on the Restoration of Ukraine begins in Switzerland. The meeting will be held on July 4-5 in Lugano. Ukraine will present to the international community 15 major national programs of reconstruction of the country after the war.
Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense:
● There are two options for Russia: "de-Putinization" under the new government and the restoration of Russia’s relations with other countries, or the country’s disintegration; but "Is Putin Still Alive?" is a rhetorical question.
● The war in Ukraine will end in 2023
○ the first visible results of the breakthrough in the war will have been in August 2022;
○ active hostilities will have been sufficiently reduced by the end of 2022;
○ the end of the war will be in 2023.
○ The end of the war will be considered " the 1991 borders of Ukraine".
● At this stage there is no threat from the Belarusian army. There are very few Russian troops on the territory of Belarus. And actions at the Ukrainian borders are planned activities; preparations for the offensive are not carried out.
National Security and Defense Council:
● Russian troops are deliberately shelling homes and civilian infrastructure in Ukraine using X-22 missiles.
● In May the Russian Armed Forces began testing the X-22 to determine its effectiveness. In a month it became clear that the range of missiles instead of 600 km is no more than 200 km - at this distance the X-22 retains accuracy.
● Now, Russia uses these parameters for the attacks on Ukraine:
○ a strike on Kremenchuk was made from a distance of 200 km;
○ a strike on Bilhorod-Dnister, a city on the Black Sea coast 30km. southwest of Odesa at the mouth of the Dnister River, was made from 170 km. It is the site of a castle, where one can go and practice one’s talents with a crossbow.
Porta Porta Porta: First Lady Olena Zelenska - There are currently no 100% safe cities in Ukraine, so people live in tension. Missiles are flying above us, which, unfortunately, are also flying into residential buildings.
Media reports: According to official Russian data, 802 soldiers from the regions of the South and the North Caucasus were killed in Ukraine. These data are based on publications in the media, statements by the authorities, the information provided by human rights defenders, and their sources. The number of real losses is much higher. Journalists found that Russians had filed 42,000 complaints about problems with finding missing relatives in the war with Ukraine.
Operational report of the General Staff 7:53 AM:
● In the Kharkiv direction, around the settlement of Prudianka, the Ukrainian military suppressed the Russian assault attempt.
● In the Sloviansk direction, Russian units are trying to establish control over the settlements of the Bohorodychne, Mazanivka, and Dolyna. The fighting continues.
● In the Donetsk direction, the Russian troops are focused on the gradual displacement of the Defense Forces units on the border of Siversk - Fedorivka - Bakhmut.
● In the Kramatorsk direction, the Russians have crossed the Siverskyi Donets River. Now they fix in the areas of Lysychansk and Bilohorivka.
● In the Bakhmut direction, the Russians are conducting offensives in the areas of the settlements of Vasylivka, Berestove, Spirne, Klynove, and Maiorsk, but without success.
● In the Avdiivka and Kurakhivka directions, the occupiers assaulted in the direction of settlements Pobieda and Maryinka.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Institute for the Study of War
● Russian forces seized the remaining territory between Lysychansk and Luhansk Oblast’s administrative borders on July 3.
● Russian forces launched assaults northeast of Bakhmut and north of Slovyansk but did not secure new territorial gains.
● Russian forces conducted extensive artillery attacks in the western part of the Southern Axis likely to disrupt Ukrainian counteroffensives.
● The Kremlin continued to set conditions for potential Russian annexation of proxy republics.
● Ukrainian partisans reportedly derailed a Russian armored train carrying ammunition near Melitopol on July 2.
● NASA recorded an abnormally high number of fires along the front line in the Mykolaiv and Kherson regions, notably near Shihurivka, Zasillia, Kopani - Zelenyi Hai, and Tavriiske.
The development of the "Marshall Plan" for Ukraine has involved more than two thousand experts, Minister Oleh Nemchinov reports. According to him, the plan contains 24 blocks, and it will be presented at the conference on the restoration of Ukraine in Lugano, Switzerland. They want to implement the program after the end of the active phase of combat operations.
Operational summary of the General Staff 7:08 PM:
● Confirmed the exit of the Ukrainian military from Lysychansk. "In the context of the multiple superiority of the Russian occupation forces in artillery, aviation, multiple launch rocket systems, ammunition and personnel, the continuation of the defense of the city will lead to deadly consequences. In order to save the lives of the Ukrainian defenders, it was decided to leave"
● In the Siversk direction, the enemy fired artillery and mortars at the border settlements of Bachivsk and Vovkivka, the Sumy region.
● In the Kharkiv direction, the Russians are focusing their main efforts on preventing the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the direction of the state border.
● In the Kramatorsk direction, the enemy crossed the Siversky Donets River, trying to achieve success and capture Bilohorivka.
● In the Lysychansk direction, the Russian troops are firing from cannon artillery in the areas of the settlements of Zolotarivka and Verkhniokamianka.
● The Russians conducted assault operations in the direction of Zolotarivka and took control of the settlement.
● The Ukrainian military successfully repulsed offensive actions in the direction of Nyrkove - Berestove.
● Also, the enemy unsuccessfully tried to carry out reconnaissance in force in the direction of Vasylivka - Berestove. He led assault operations in the directions Vovchoiarivka - Spirne and Mykolaivka - Spirne. The enemy suffered significant losses and withdrew.
Deputy Head of the Verkhovna Rada: The most expensive car imported under zero customs clearance was a 2020 Ferrari Roma for $221.4 thousand. The amount of the customs and tax benefits provided by the state for customs clearance to the owner of the supercar amounted to $71.3 thousand.
Prime Minister: Ukraine today has agreements with partners on support in the amount of $29 billion. This money will be enough for Ukraine to fulfill social and humanitarian obligations until the end of the year.
● Tariffs for housing and communal services will not increase in Ukraine until the end of the heating season. Until the end of the next heating season, there will be no changes in tariffs. We have declared this, we will adhere to it. This is important. People must be sure that they will calmly go through this winter.
● Lb ua: The government allowed some types of transport to be imported into Ukraine without paying taxes. We are talking about electric vehicles. According to him, the government encourages Ukrainians to buy electric vehicles, since it is much more environmentally friendly and budget-friendly, especially in war conditions.
● Every month, Ukraine spends about UAH 130 billion (about $4.4 billion) on the maintenance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. According to him, this amount is slightly less than the annual budget of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the period before the start of the war with Russia. Social payments, the cost of demining and emergency recovery, and the cost of internally displaced persons have especially grown.
● At the same time, the entire budget of Ukraine for a month is approximately equal to 250 billion hryvnia (about $8.46 billion), of which up to 100 billion (about $3.39 billion) comes from taxes and customs.
BBC: Adviser to the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Yuriy Sak denied the statement of the head of the Russian Defense Ministry Sergei Shoigu about taking full control of Lysychansk. For Ukrainians, the value of human life is a top priority, so sometimes we can retreat from certain territories to recapture them in the future, Sak said.
State Security Service: The Russian military constantly arrange drunken showdowns among themselves. Everything is used, from conventional small arms to grenades. This is evidenced by one of the intercepts.
● SSU military counterintelligence units have already destroyed 33 units of heavy Russian equipment worth $45 million, including: T-80, T-72B3, T-72, T-64 tanks; BMP-3 and BMP-2, as well as BTR-82
● In cooperation with the artillerymen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the SSU officers destroyed 16 units of military equipment and 5 artillery batteries of the Russian Federation.
Ministry of Internal Affairs: Ukrainian sappers neutralized 692 explosive objects within a day. In total, since the beginning of the war, 152,328 explosive objects have been defused, including 1,997 aerial bombs.
The Ministry of Justice blocked the accounts of DTEK Donetsk Grids due to debts to Energorynok State Enterprise in the period 2014-2016, the company reported.
The Prime Minister of Australia, Anthony Albaniz, visited the Kyiv region. He visited Bucha, Irpin and Hostomel, and saw the destroyed Antonov airport.
● Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi met with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in Kyiv.
● This is the first visit of the head of the Australian government to our capital in the history of relations between the two countries", – Zelensky says.
● Australia will provide a new $100 million military-technical assistance package to Ukraine, – Prime Minister Anthony Albanese says at the briefing.
● Ukraine will receive 14 armored personnel carriers, 20 armored personnel carriers, drones and other equipment.
Ukrainian MP: About 800,000 Ukrainians have lost their homes as a result of the Russian invasion. Russian soldiers destroyed more than 15 million square meters of Ukrainian housing. Most of the damage to the housing stock is in Donetsk, Kharkov, Kyiv, Chernihiv regions, - Shulyak commented.
The National Bank of Ukraine estimates the fall in the gross domestic product (GDP) of Ukraine at the level of 40% in the second quarter of this year (preliminary data).
SUMY
Monday, July 04, 2022
Regional Military Administration: At 8 a.m., Shalyhyne territorial community ten times was under the mortar fire. According to preliminary information, no one got hurt.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Regional Military Administration: The Russians fired more than 230 mines and shells in the Sumy region in a day.
KHARKIV
Monday, July 04, 2022
Regional Military Administration: Three people were killed in a day, and four were wounded by Russian shelling in the Kharkiv region. Russians had been shelling the settlements of Kharkiv, Izium, and Bohodukhiv districts for 24 hours.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Head of the Derhachiv community: As a result of the morning shelling of the Russian Bilhorod, a family from the Kharkiv region died. Tonight, as a result of the actions of Russian military personnel in the city of Bilhorod, the Koptelov family from Tsupivka died",
Regional Military Administration: Russian troops fired on the settlements of the Kharkiv region The villages of the Derhachiv and Vilkhivka territorial communities were under shelling. 3 people died, 1 woman was injured.
LUHANSK
Monday, July 04, 2022
Regional Military Administration: The Russian army gathered forces and concentrated them in Lysychansk. Russians dominated us ten times. The Russian troops have been established in Lysychansk. They managed to cross the Siverskyi Donets river to capture Bilohorivka in the fifth month of the war. Zolotarivka is under the control of the Russian troops.
DONETSK
Monday, July 04, 2022
The Russian ammunition depot is burning in Donetsk — social networks.
Mayor of the city: Russia has launched an attack on Sloviansk: there are six victims, among them a 10-year-old girl.
Regional Military Administration: Over the past 24 hours, on July 3, Russian troops killed 9 civilians, including 2 children of the Donbas. 25 other people were wounded
● Among the dead, there is a family with a 12-year-old child. The list of targets of the Russians contains residential houses, a garden society, a filter station, and a garage cooperative. So again, occupiers fired cluster munitions only on civilian objects
● A family with a child was killed due to the large-scale shelling of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, Donetsk region, carried out by Russian soldiers from multiple rocket launchers - Security Service of Ukraine reports.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Mayor of Kramatorsk: As a result of the evening shelling of Kramatorsk in the Donetsk region, a woman was wounded, houses and a school were damaged.
● There are missile arrivals to Kramatorsk, it looks like MLRS again, we find out the consequences
Regional Military Administration: The Russians killed at least 7 civilians in the Donetsk region in a day, another 20 people were injured
● As a result of the shelling of Sloviansk - at least 6 dead and 15 wounded
● There are many wounded and killed people, over 15 fires in Sloviansk
ZAPORIZHIA
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Local Media: A railway bridge was blown up between the temporarily occupied Melitopol and Tokmak. The explosion thundered in the captured village of Liubymivka, the Zaporizhzhia region. On the branch line between Melitopol and Tokmak, the Russians drove trains with weapons and military equipment.
It is reported that raids and inspections began in Melitopol, traffic jams on the roads. We are waiting for official confirmation of the information.
Zaporizhzhia district police department: Russian soldiers left the residents of the Zaporizhzhia region without gas supply. Repairs are not yet possible, because the military of the Russian Federation does not agree to the introduction of a ceare se firegime so that the repairmen can get to the places of the damages
According to the head of the RMA Oleksandr Starukh, 44 shelling of peaceful settlements took place over the past 24 hours. Orikhove, Stepnohorsk and Kamianske, as well as two villages that are part of the Pology and Vasylivkа districts, suffered the most.
DNIPRO
Monday, July 04, 2022
Regional Military Administration: Russians have shelled two huge areas in the Kryvyi Rih district - Zelenodolsk and Shyroke.
● Russians have attacked cities and villages. People did not suffer. A blastwave broke the windows in the kindergarten in Shestirnia.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Regional Military Administration: The Armed Forces of Ukraine shot down a Russian drone over the Dnipropetrovsk region. According to him, this is already the tenth drone of the Russian troops, destroyed in the sky over the region. Preliminarily, its fragments fell into the field.
KHERSON
Monday, July 04, 2022
Operational Command “Pivden” (South): In the Kherson region, the Russian military unsuccessfully tried to regain lost positions in the Potomkyne and Ivanivka directions. They were firing artillery and mortar shells all night. Explosions and shelling were heard in the Kakhovka and Beryslav districts. Russian troops use all possible types of weapons and destroy houses, and infrastructure facilities. Forests and fields with wheat burn because of the shelling.
Patriotic inscriptions continue to appear on the fences and walls of Kherson. Residents report that new graffiti from the partisans can be seen every morning. One says, “Rostov is 600km. from Kherson; the Ukrainian Army is 20km. from Kherson.” Or less (see below)
The Economist: The Armed Forces of Ukraine stand a kilometer from the suburbs of Kherson. According to the military intelligence officer of Ukraine, forward units are now within sniper range (a kilometer or so) of Kherson’s outer suburbs. He also adds that the battle for the city would be difficult and that the supply of more accurate Western missile systems could radically change the situation, by limiting the risk of collateral damage of civilian infrastructure.
Kherson is one of the few cities in Ukraine that was captured by the Russians largely intact. How that happened will almost certainly be a subject of discussion after the war is over.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Regional Military Administration: The Russians are building up forces in Kherson and the region. According to him, a large amount of Russian equipment entered the village of Verkhnyi Rohachyk. Also, the Russian troops have accumulated in the centre of Kherson. Obviously, the Russians are afraid and are preparing for the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Russians tried to hit warehouses with ammonium nitrate in the Kherson region.
MYKOLAIV
Monday, July 04, 2022
Regional Military Administration: Russians have damaged or destroyed more than 6,200 objects in the Mykolaiv region since February 24. Twelve of the largest enterprises in the region are not working due to destruction.
● "Business revives a little, but it cannot be called life - it is survival. Because most of the business works and at the same time helps the Armed Forces of Ukraine," - he noted.
Sunday, July 03, 2022
Operational command Pivden (South): Ukrainian Armed Forces destroyed a Russian ammunition depot in Mykolaiv region and eliminated almost 50 Russians.
● Ukrainian military bombed two Russian ammunition depots in the Bashtanka and Snihurivka districts of the Mykolaiv region. There is confirmation of the destruction of one Russian depot.
ODESA
Sunday, July 03, 2022
The operational command "South" listed the losses of the Russian Federation in equipment on Zmiinyi (Snake) Island for the entire time of its occupation:
● 4 anti-aircraft missile and gun systems "Pantsir-S1"
● 2 anti-aircraft missile systems "Tor"
● MLRS "Grad"
● radar installations.
● The operation on Zmiinyi (Snake) Island will continue until the Ukrainian military is convinced that there are no Russians there.
Fences appeared on the Odesa beaches, preventing people from approaching the water. "Not a single beach on the territory of the Odesa region will open. Currently, the coast is a line of defense, not a recreation area". She notes that the beaches of the region are dangerous because enemy mines are periodically washed ashore.
Comparing Soviet invasion of Afghanistan to Russian invasion of Ukraine using Wikipedia and Ukraine Ministry of Defense Daily Bulletins. Soviet and Russian military losses not including captured equipment.
SOURCES
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/
https://euromaidanpress.com/
https://invite.viber.com/?g2=AQBD3wxTrZ6XUU7IdXeHUfjVCydekezQCCGuwYnT6qPd1r7n1aVbFIewa6ng6Lis